Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?

根據「Another crypto hack over $100M by ___?」的最新預測市場資料，交易者已形成強烈共識。

目前，December 31 以壓倒性的 5,350% 獲勝機率主導市場；October 31 以 4,150% 位居第二。該市場的下注量已達 —，反映出市場的高度關注。

為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置，可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊：

🥇 第一梯隊：絕對領跑者

• December 31 (5,350%)：December 31 目前擁有最高機率，深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,350¢，顯示出市場的高度確信。

🥈 第二梯隊：主要挑戰者

• October 31 (4,150%)：作為最可行的替代選項，October 31 保持著 4,150% 的成真機率，其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 4,150¢。

This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count.

If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.