
AHL: 2027 Champion
核心摘要
根據「AHL: 2027 Champion」的最新預測市場資料,交易者已形成強烈共識。
目前,Abbotsford Canucks 以壓倒性的 5,000% 獲勝機率主導市場;Bakersfield Condors 以 5,000% 位居第二,Belleville Senators 以 5,000% 排名第三。該市場的下注量已達 —,反映出市場的高度關注。
競爭梯隊拆解
為了更好地評估各潛在結果的位置,可依據隱含機率與合約定價將市場劃分為三個明顯的交易梯隊:
🥇 第一梯隊:絕對領跑者
- Abbotsford Canucks (5,000%):Abbotsford Canucks 目前擁有最高機率,深受訂單簿青睞。看好該結果的交易者面對的「Buy Yes」合約價為 5,000¢,顯示出市場的高度確信。
🥈 第二梯隊:主要挑戰者
- Bakersfield Condors (5,000%):作為最可行的替代選項,Bakersfield Condors 保持著 5,000% 的成真機率,其「Buy Yes」份額目前成交價為 5,000¢。
- Belleville Senators (5,000%):以 5,000% 的機率位列第三,市場對 Belleville Senators 持謹慎懷疑態度,除非勢頭轉變,否則視其為外圍黑馬。
🥉 第三梯隊:長尾選項(合計約 0%)
在前三名之外,還有大量宏觀變數與冷門結果被持續追蹤。儘管單個機率偏低,但它們是投機交易者的重要對沖:
- 替代選項:包括 Calgary Wranglers (5,000%)、Charlotte Checkers (5,000%),以及 Chicago Wolves (5,000%)。
- 投機成交:儘管統計機率偏低,像 Cleveland Monsters 這類長尾合約仍吸引著可觀的關注。
完整訂單簿與定價面板
下表列出了該預測池中所有結果的合約價格、機率與市場深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 預測結果 | 獲勝機率 | 成交量 | 買入 Yes(成本) | 買入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abbotsford Canucks | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Bakersfield Condors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Belleville Senators | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Calgary Wranglers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Charlotte Checkers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Chicago Wolves | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Cleveland Monsters | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Colorado Eagles | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Hamilton Hammers | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Henderson Silver Knights | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Hershey Bears | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Iowa Wild | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Laval Rocket | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Manitoba Moose | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Milwaukee Admirals | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Ontario Reign | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Providence Bruins | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Rochester Americans | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Rockford IceHogs | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | San Diego Gulls | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | San Jose Barracuda | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Syracuse Crunch | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Texas Stars | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Toronto Marlies | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Tucson Roadrunners | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Utica Comets | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
裁決規則
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the AHL for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of the AHL for the 2026-27 season per the rules of the American Hockey League (e.g., the team is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the American Hockey League (https://theahl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
常見問題
目前市場對「AHL: 2027 Champion」的共識是什麼?
截至最新更新,Abbotsford Canucks 以 5,000% 的獲勝機率領跑,其次是 Bakersfield Condors(5,000%),以及 Belleville Senators(5,000%)。該市場總成交量已達 —,顯示出充足的流動性與高交易參與度。
