US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova

$93.1K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
概率趋势
Aryna Sabalenka 69.5%
Linda Noskova 30.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 7,350% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova 以 6,950% 位居第二,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner 以 6,450% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $93.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,350%):US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,350¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova (6,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova 保持着 6,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,950¢。
  • US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner (6,450%):以 6,450% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 Winner (6,350%)、US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 21.5 (5,500%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova6950.0%$89.6K6950¢-6850¢
3US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
4US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 Winner6350.0%$706350¢-6250¢
5US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 21.55500.0%$2185500¢-5400¢
6Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
11US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 22.54750.0%$7894750¢-4650¢
12US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Game Spread +/-3.54750.0%$284750¢-4650¢
13US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set Handicap +/-1.54550.0%$1.9K4550¢-4450¢
14US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Match O/U 23.54300.0%$334300¢-4200¢
15US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Total Sets: O/U 2.53800.0%$7393800¢-3700¢
16US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 10.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Linda Noskova.

This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Aryna Sabalenka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 10:52 AM
    SRsreca
    $2.40

    Bought 5 Sabalenka for Game Spread: Sabalenka (-3.5) vs Noskova (+3.5) at 0.48

  • 10:51 AM
    NInigiri99
    $4.60

    Bought 10 Sabalenka for Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:44 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $20.02

    Bought 28.6 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.7

  • 10:44 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $390.79

    Bought 558.271426 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.7

  • 10:42 AM
    DAdarbearr
    $15.00

    Bought 48.387097 Linda Noskova for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.31

  • 10:41 AM
    RARainRain12
    $40.00

    Bought 57.142856 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.7

  • 10:41 AM
    ERerickttt
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.7

  • 10:33 AM
    SRsrgnya
    $2.13

    Bought 6.86 Linda Noskova for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.31

  • 10:33 AM
    BLBlackbirdy
    $2.00

    Bought 6.451613 Linda Noskova for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.31

  • 10:30 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $9.60

    Bought 20 Over for Sabalenka vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.48

  • 10:27 AM
    SAsansanfanfan
    $6.00

    Bought 8.571426 Aryna Sabalenka for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.7

  • 10:25 AM
    0X0x41FCFF61f03f33729084490Dd32E3Ad226E40F2a-1770904737777
    $20.00

    Bought 64.51613 Linda Noskova for US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova at 0.31

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 7,350% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova(6,950%),以及 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Set 2 Winner(6,450%)。该市场总成交量已达 $93.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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