US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro

$7K Vol
2026年9月15日
Active
概率趋势
Jessica Pegula 77.5%
Emma Navarro 22.5%

核心摘要

根据「US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro 以压倒性的 7,750% 获胜概率主导市场;US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 Winner 以 7,250% 位居第二,US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 Winner 以 7,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro (7,750%):US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $6.6K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 Winner (7,250%):作为最可行的替代选项,US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 Winner 保持着 7,250% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,250¢。
  • US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 Winner (7,050%):以 7,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,950%)、US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,350%),以及 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro7750.0%$6.6K7750¢-7650¢
2US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 Winner7250.0%7250¢-7150¢
3US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 Winner7050.0%7050¢-6950¢
4US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 O/U 8.55950.0%5950¢-5850¢
5US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set Handicap +/-1.55350.0%$4615350¢-5250¢
6US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Completed Match4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Game Spread +/-4.54850.0%$194850¢-4750¢
11US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Match O/U 21.54700.0%$384700¢-4600¢
12US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 O/U 9.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
13US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Match O/U 22.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
14US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Match O/U 23.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
15US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Total Sets: O/U 2.53600.0%$3353600¢-3500¢
16US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 O/U 10.52400.0%2400¢-2300¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Emma Navarro.

This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Jessica Pegula.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro 以 7,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 2 Winner(7,250%),以及 US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Set 1 Winner(7,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 $7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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