
Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska
核心摘要
根据「Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 以压倒性的 6,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska 以 5,450% 位居第二,Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner 以 5,400% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $94.2K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,050%):Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 6,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska (5,450%):作为最可行的替代选项,Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska 保持着 5,450% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,450¢。
- Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner (5,400%):以 5,400% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 Winner (5,350%)、Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 21.5 (5,050%),以及 Completed Match (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 9.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 2 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska | 5450.0% | $87.8K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 3 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner | 5400.0% | — | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 4 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 Winner | 5350.0% | — | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 5 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 21.5 | 5050.0% | $182 | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 6 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $3.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Game Spread +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $12 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 22.5 | 4500.0% | $20 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 13 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 23.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 14 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 4000.0% | $139 | 4000¢ | -3900¢ |
| 15 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 3500.0% | — | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 16 | Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 3450.0% | $2.9K | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Nadia Podoroska in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 1:30PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Nadia Podoroska.
This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Kaitlin Quevedo.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 20, 2026
- 11:06 PMAPApuuuuh$3.20
Bought 5 Nadia Podoroska for Set Handicap: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Nadia Podoroska (+1.5) at 0.64
- 11:06 PMVEVeryLucky888$64.00
Bought 100 Nadia Podoroska for Set Handicap: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Nadia Podoroska (+1.5) at 0.64
- 11:06 PMFOFoolingAround$55.00
Bought 119.565218 Nadia Podoroska for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.46
- 10:55 PMKAKangta2026$883.63
Sold 1636.36 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.54
- 10:46 PMSAsaeid1989$0.98
Sold 1.81 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.54
- 10:32 PMOMOmnipollo44$10.00
Bought 21.739131 Nadia Podoroska for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.46
- 10:21 PMCHChris2211$3.00
Bought 5.454546 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55
- 10:21 PMSAsaeid1989$1.00
Bought 1.818182 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55
- 10:20 PMRNRNGLuck$1.00
Bought 2.173914 Nadia Podoroska for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.46
- 10:01 PMWAWarehouse.$49.00
Bought 89.090908 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55
- 09:49 PM0X0x0D5a1Cc699Aec6746a053600a9F40574Ea498519-1775427205547$3.00
Bought 5.454546 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55
- 09:46 PM0X0x3a855BA8cDCE3fcE20dDF6C2867c4889cfA1E543-1772987428569$2.50
Bought 5 Under for Quevedo vs. Podoroska: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.5
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 以 6,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska(5,450%),以及 Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner(5,400%)。该市场总成交量已达 $94.2K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
