Pro Football: Travis Kelce 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns

$3.7K Vol
2027年1月27日
Active
概率趋势
0.5+ receiving TDs 98.7%
2.5+ receiving TDs 90.5%
4.5+ receiving TDs 82.5%
6.5+ receiving TDs 67.5%
8.5+ receiving TDs 23.5%

核心摘要

根据「Pro Football: Travis Kelce 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,0.5+ receiving TDs 以压倒性的 9,865% 获胜概率主导市场;2.5+ receiving TDs 以 8,950% 位居第二,4.5+ receiving TDs 以 8,250% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $3.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • 0.5+ receiving TDs (9,865%):0.5+ receiving TDs 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,865¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $586 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • 2.5+ receiving TDs (8,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,2.5+ receiving TDs 保持着 8,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,950¢。
  • 4.5+ receiving TDs (8,250%):以 8,250% 的概率位列第三,市场对 4.5+ receiving TDs 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 6.5+ receiving TDs (5,300%),以及 8.5+ receiving TDs (2,200%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 6.5+ receiving TDs 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
10.5+ receiving TDs9865.0%$5869865¢-9765¢
22.5+ receiving TDs8950.0%$7218950¢-8850¢
34.5+ receiving TDs8250.0%$3538250¢-8150¢
46.5+ receiving TDs5300.0%$9955300¢-5200¢
58.5+ receiving TDs2200.0%$1.0K2200¢-2100¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns Travis Kelce records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Travis Kelce does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns Travis Kelce recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

常见问题

当前市场对「Pro Football: Travis Kelce 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Touchdowns」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,0.5+ receiving TDs 以 9,865% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 2.5+ receiving TDs(8,950%),以及 4.5+ receiving TDs(8,250%)。该市场总成交量已达 $3.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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