
Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka
核心摘要
根据「Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Completed Match 以压倒性的 5,000% 获胜概率主导市场;Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 Winner 以 5,000% 位居第二,Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 以 5,000% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $135.1K,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Completed Match (5,000%):Completed Match 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,000¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $6.8K 的成交量。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 Winner (5,000%):作为最可行的替代选项,Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 Winner 保持着 5,000% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,000¢。
- Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%):以 5,000% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%)、Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%),以及 Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 O/U 8.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $6.8K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Match O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | $250 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Match O/U 22.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Match O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5000.0% | $1.1K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 1 Winner | 4550.0% | $9 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 17 | Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka | 2250.0% | $126.9K | 2250¢ | -2150¢ |
裁决规则
This market refers to the tennis match between Ksenia Efremova and Martyna Kubka in the Adana, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Ksenia Efremova' if Ksenia Efremova advances against Martyna Kubka.
This market will resolve to 'Martyna Kubka' if Martyna Kubka advances against Ksenia Efremova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易动态
以下是该事件的交易动态。
Sep 28, 2026
- 11:46 AM0X0xD61c72bA69df65873BB11566050ac95dB437A55d-1782384617437$1.00
Bought 1.515152 Martyna Kubka for Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.66
- 11:27 AMHIHighIQDegens$28.05
Bought 55 Martyna Kubka for Game Spread: Martyna Kubka (-3.5) vs Ksenia Efremova (+3.5) at 0.51
- 11:21 AMHUHUB-1$18.60
Sold 930 No for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.02
- 11:20 AMJAJaGouChat$85.00
Bought 128.787879 Martyna Kubka for Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.66
- 11:18 AMSDsdsvshub-2$4.80
Sold 240 No for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.02
- 11:18 AM0X0x56f536a014f55cC6F611ead63D3ac3f29337AeE1-1778093511228$3.25
Bought 5 Martyna Kubka for Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.65
- 11:15 AMSDsdsvshub-2$9.60
Bought 240 No for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.04
- 11:14 AMSDsdsvshub-2$1.00
Sold 50 No for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.02
- 11:11 AMSDsdsvshub-2$2.00
Bought 50 No for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.04
- 11:09 AMSASacrod$49.00
Bought 50 Yes for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.98
- 10:27 AMMEMeBetting$19.47
Bought 29.953845 Martyna Kubka for Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.65
- 10:18 AMHUHUB-1$37.20
Bought 930 No for Adana: Completed Match: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka at 0.04
正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包
常见问题
当前市场对「Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Completed Match 以 5,000% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Set 2 Winner(5,000%),以及 Adana: Ksenia Efremova vs Martyna Kubka Total Sets: O/U 2.5(5,000%)。该市场总成交量已达 $135.1K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
