
Patriots vs. Bills - Player Props
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2026年10月4日
Active
概率趋势
Over 50.0%
Under 50.0%
核心摘要
根据「Patriots vs. Bills - Player Props」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。
目前,Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 以压倒性的 5,050% 获胜概率主导市场;Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown 以 5,050% 位居第二,Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns 以 5,050% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 —,反映出市场的高度关注。
竞争梯队拆解
为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:
🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者
- Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 (5,050%):Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 5,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。
🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者
- Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown (5,050%):作为最可行的替代选项,Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown 保持着 5,050% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,050¢。
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns (5,050%):以 5,050% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。
🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)
在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:
- 替代选项:包括 Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 (5,050%)、Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 (5,000%),以及 Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 (5,000%)。
- 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。
完整订单簿与定价面板
下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:
| 排名 | 预测结果 | 获胜概率 | 成交量 | 买入 Yes(成本) | 买入 No(成本) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 2 | Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 4 | Khalil Shakir: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 5 | Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Drake Maye: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Cameron Latu: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Corey Kiner: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Dalton Kincaid: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Dawson Knox: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | DeMario Douglas: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | DJ Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Drake Maye: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Efton Chism III: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Greg Dortch: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | James Cook III: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Joshua Palmer: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Keleki Latu: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Keon Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Khalil Shakir: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Kyle Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Mack Hollins: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Ray Davis: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Romeo Doubs: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Skyler Bell: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Tanner Arkin: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | TreVeyon Henderson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Ty Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Dalton Kincaid: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | DJ Moore: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Hunter Henry: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Romeo Doubs: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Drake Maye: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Drake Maye: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Drake Maye: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Josh Allen: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Drake Maye: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Drake Maye: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 49 | Drake Maye: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 50 | Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 51 | Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 52 | Josh Allen: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 53 | Cameron Latu: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 54 | Corey Kiner: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 55 | Dalton Kincaid: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 56 | Dawson Knox: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 57 | DeMario Douglas: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 58 | DJ Moore: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 59 | Drake Maye: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 60 | Efton Chism III: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 61 | Greg Dortch: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 62 | Hunter Henry: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 63 | Jackson Hawes: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 64 | James Cook III: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 65 | Josh Allen: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 66 | Joshua Palmer: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 67 | Keleki Latu: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 68 | Keon Coleman: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 69 | Khalil Shakir: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 70 | Kyle Williams: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 71 | Mack Hollins: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 72 | Ray Davis: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 73 | Rhamondre Stevenson: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 74 | Romeo Doubs: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 75 | Skyler Bell: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 76 | Tanner Arkin: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 77 | TreVeyon Henderson: Team First TD (New England Patriots) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 78 | Ty Johnson: Team First TD (Buffalo Bills) | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 79 | Dalton Kincaid: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 80 | Dawson Knox: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 81 | DeMario Douglas: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 82 | DJ Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 83 | Drake Maye: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 84 | Hunter Henry: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 85 | James Cook III: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 86 | Josh Allen: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 87 | Joshua Palmer: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 88 | Keon Coleman: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 89 | Khalil Shakir: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 90 | Kyle Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 91 | Mack Hollins: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 92 | Ray Davis: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 93 | Romeo Doubs: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 94 | TreVeyon Henderson: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 95 | Ty Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
裁决规则
Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Patriots and Bills, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET.
常见问题
当前市场对「Patriots vs. Bills - Player Props」的共识是什么?
截至最新更新,Josh Allen: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 以 5,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Jackson Hawes: Anytime Touchdown(5,050%),以及 Rhamondre Stevenson: 2+ Touchdowns(5,050%)。该市场总成交量已达 —,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。
