NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team

$318.6K Vol
2026年11月1日
Active
概率趋势
Toronto Raptors 96.3%
Los Angeles Clippers 1.5%
Golden State Warriors 0.1%
San Antonio Spurs 0.1%
Detroit Pistons 0.1%

核心摘要

根据「NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Toronto Raptors 以压倒性的 9,625% 获胜概率主导市场;Los Angeles Clippers 以 150% 位居第二,Golden State Warriors 以 15% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $318.6K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Toronto Raptors (9,625%):Toronto Raptors 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,625¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $86.3K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Los Angeles Clippers (150%):作为最可行的替代选项,Los Angeles Clippers 保持着 150% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 150¢。
  • Golden State Warriors (15%):以 15% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Golden State Warriors 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Atlanta Hawks (5%)、Boston Celtics (5%),以及 Brooklyn Nets (5%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 Charlotte Hornets 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Toronto Raptors9625.0%$86.3K9625¢-9525¢
2Los Angeles Clippers150.0%$38.4K150¢-50¢
3Golden State Warriors15.0%$117.2K15¢85¢
4Atlanta Hawks5.0%$1.9K95¢
5Boston Celtics5.0%$2.9K95¢
6Brooklyn Nets5.0%$1.9K95¢
7Charlotte Hornets5.0%$2.9K95¢
8Chicago Bulls5.0%$3.1K95¢
9Cleveland Cavaliers5.0%$1.8K95¢
10Dallas Mavericks5.0%$2.8K95¢
11Denver Nuggets5.0%$4.1K95¢
12Detroit Pistons5.0%$5.2K95¢
13Houston Rockets5.0%$1.9K95¢
14Indiana Pacers5.0%$2.8K95¢
15Los Angeles Lakers5.0%$1.6K95¢
16Memphis Grizzlies5.0%$2.6K95¢
17Miami Heat5.0%$2.7K95¢
18Milwaukee Bucks5.0%$2.7K95¢
19Minnesota Timberwolves5.0%$2.7K95¢
20New Orleans Pelicans5.0%$1.7K95¢
21New York Knicks5.0%$2.8K95¢
22Oklahoma City Thunder5.0%$3.2K95¢
23Orlando Magic5.0%$2.7K95¢
24Philadelphia 76ers5.0%$2.8K95¢
25Phoenix Suns5.0%$1.6K95¢
26Portland Trail Blazers5.0%$2.6K95¢
27Sacramento Kings5.0%$2.8K95¢
28San Antonio Spurs5.0%$7.8K95¢
29Utah Jazz5.0%$1.8K95¢
30Washington Wizards5.0%$3.2K95¢

裁决规则

This market will resolve to the next team Kawhi Leonard officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.

If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 8, 2026

  • 12:45 AM
    MAmacrosteaks
    $6.96

    Bought 174 No for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.04

Sep 7, 2026

  • 09:05 PM
    THthenewpontif
    $34.98

    Sold 36.44 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.96

  • 08:19 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.62

    Bought 54.074074 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? at 0.03

  • 06:27 AM
    MAmacrosteaks
    $2.71

    Bought 90.352903 No for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.03

  • 01:08 AM
    MAmacrosteaks
    $1.58

    Bought 52.785881 No for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.03

Sep 6, 2026

  • 11:06 PM
    JIjillers
    $99.96

    Bought 102 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.98

  • 12:30 PM
    XYXyzeric
    $0.01

    Sold 0.4 No for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.02

  • 02:49 AM
    ILilovecarrots
    $12.13

    Sold 12.5 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.97

Sep 5, 2026

  • 07:35 PM
    DIDistant-Glass
    $217.19

    Bought 221.62 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.98

  • 07:35 PM
    DIDistant-Glass
    $28.76

    Bought 29.35 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.98

  • 09:53 AM
    OLOlma
    $0.27

    Sold 9 No for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.03

Sep 4, 2026

  • 07:57 PM
    PEpengu1n
    $0.10

    Bought 0.11 Yes for Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? at 0.94

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

A51
0xa5ef…2966
事件盈亏
+$7,955.20
成交量
$15,567.91
持仓数
NoNo
RO2
Robbb
事件盈亏
+$2,379.78
成交量
$12,413.34
持仓数
YesNo
TH3
thoodr
事件盈亏
+$549.69
成交量
$5,836.14
持仓数
Yes
904
0x9063…4317
事件盈亏
-$523.38
成交量
$5,805.27
持仓数
NoYes
HU5
HuntersMethDealer
事件盈亏
-$926.66
成交量
$3,990.38
持仓数
YesNo
TR6
TruongMyLan
事件盈亏
-$1,118.48
成交量
$3,507.34
持仓数
NoYes
227
0x225b…8414
事件盈亏
+$59.19
成交量
$2,396.89
持仓数
NoYes
DI8
Distant-Glass
事件盈亏
+$430.07
成交量
$2,209.96
持仓数
YesNo

常见问题

当前市场对「NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Toronto Raptors 以 9,625% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Los Angeles Clippers(150%),以及 Golden State Warriors(15%)。该市场总成交量已达 $318.6K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始