LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$106.7K Vol
2026年10月15日
Active
概率趋势
HANJIN BRION 54.5%
Team WE 45.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,650% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 以 5,500% 位居第二,First Blood in Game 3? 以 5,500% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $106.7K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,650%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,650¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $3.4K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,500%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 保持着 5,500% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5,500¢。
  • First Blood in Game 3? (5,500%):以 5,500% 的概率位列第三,市场对 First Blood in Game 3? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,450%)、First Blood in Game 1? (5,150%),以及 First Blood in Game 2? (5,050%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 4? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7650.0%$3.4K7650¢-7550¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5500.0%$35500¢-5400¢
3First Blood in Game 3?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
5First Blood in Game 1?5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
6First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8First Blood in Game 5?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
37Game 3 Winner4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
39Game 1 Winner4750.0%$1.0K4750¢-4650¢
40Game 2 Winner4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
42Match Winner4550.0%$99.3K4550¢-4450¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4000.0%—4000¢-3900¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?3850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 5?3800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
51Game 4 Winner3750.0%—3750¢-3650¢
52O/U 4.5 Games3600.0%$183600¢-3500¢
53Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)3350.0%$2.5K3350¢-3250¢
54Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)2900.0%$3.3K2900¢-2800¢
55Game Handicap: BRO (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)1550.0%$7741550¢-1450¢
56Game Handicap: WE (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)1150.0%$5601150¢-1050¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Team WE and HANJIN BRION in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against HANJIN BRION.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 14, 2026

  • 01:15 PM
    UUuuk888
    $10.00

    Bought 18.518519 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:14 PM
    STst3rl0
    $40.00

    Bought 72.727273 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:14 PM
    UUuuk888
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:13 PM
    YFyfj
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.46

  • 01:13 PM
    SUsuntori
    $238.09

    Bought 432.890908 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:12 PM
    SHSherryking
    $43.20

    Bought 80 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:10 PM
    HAHardworkingLRZ
    $10.00

    Bought 18.181817 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:04 PM
    PUpuddinging
    $4.39

    Bought 9.543479 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.46

  • 01:01 PM
    YUyutingren
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Team WE for Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) at 0.3

  • 12:59 PM
    SUsuntori
    $285.71

    Bought 519.472728 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:57 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $171.42

    Bought 372.652174 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:54 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $121.00

    Bought 220 HANJIN BRION for LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

9E1
0x9e3e…9396
事件盈亏
+$5.40
成交量
$16,039.93
持仓数
Team WE
VI2
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$359.03
成交量
$12,052.52
持仓数
HANJIN BRION
EB3
EbatorVagin228
事件盈亏
-$151.99
成交量
$9,599.96
持仓数
Team WE
DE4
delacsynzy1
事件盈亏
-$29.53
成交量
$8,753.12
持仓数
HANJIN BRION
7V5
7ViziCapitale
事件盈亏
+$119.74
成交量
$7,982.57
持仓数
HANJIN BRION
0X6
0x0x23…h8c9
事件盈亏
+$33.33
成交量
$6,666.66
持仓数
Team WE
DR7
drunkdegenerate
事件盈亏
+$164.75
成交量
$6,590.00
持仓数
HANJIN BRION
HU8
humbleboy
事件盈亏
+$90.00
成交量
$5,999.96
持仓数
HANJIN BRION

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,650% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?(5,500%),以及 First Blood in Game 3?(5,500%)。该市场总成交量已达 $106.7K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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