LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

$93K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
概率趋势
Vivo Keyd Stars 53.5%
RED Canids 46.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 3.5 Games 以压倒性的 7,200% 获胜概率主导市场;Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? 以 6,300% 位居第二,Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? 以 5,800% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $93K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,200%):O/U 3.5 Games 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 7,200¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $604 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? (6,300%):作为最可行的替代选项,Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? 保持着 6,300% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 6,300¢。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? (5,800%):以 5,800% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Match Winner (5,350%)、First Blood in Game 4? (5,200%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill (5,150%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 3.5 Games7200.0%$6047200¢-7100¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
4Match Winner5350.0%$68.9K5350¢-5250¢
5First Blood in Game 4?5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
7First Blood in Game 2?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
9First Blood in Game 3?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
10Game 2 Winner5050.0%$7.2K5050¢-4950¢
11Game 3 Winner5050.0%$6.3K5050¢-4950¢
12Game 4 Winner5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
13First Blood in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Game 1 Winner4950.0%$8.1K4950¢-4850¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
43Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)3550.0%$1.7K3550¢-3450¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3500.0%3500¢-3400¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?3450.0%3450¢-3350¢
47O/U 4.5 Games3400.0%$2863400¢-3300¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
51Game Handicap: VKS (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)1650.0%$51650¢-1550¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Vivo Keyd Stars and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win the match against RED Canids.

This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:20 AM
    KAKaiMy
    $3.25

    Bought 5 RED Canids for Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:20 AM
    XDxDd0s
    $44.30

    Bought 123.06 Vivo Keyd Stars for Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 09:50 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $28.16

    Bought 44 RED Canids for Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:31 AM
    WAwanah
    $5.00

    Bought 7.81 RED Canids for Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:31 AM
    AMam100
    $167.09

    Bought 261.08 RED Canids for Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:30 AM
    HEheadach3
    $93.84

    Bought 204 RED Canids for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.46

  • 09:25 AM
    ILilopol
    $85.09

    Bought 154.7 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.55

  • 09:17 AM
    NOnonikeyl
    $25.30

    Bought 46 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.55

  • 09:13 AM
    PRPrdz
    $549.99

    Bought 999.99 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.55

  • 09:05 AM
    NInikon73
    $1.62

    Bought 2.945455 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.55

  • 09:05 AM
    NInikon73
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.55

  • 09:05 AM
    NInikon73
    $1.84

    Bought 3.345455 Vivo Keyd Stars for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.55

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
事件盈亏
+$174.87
成交量
$34,841.16
持仓数
RED Canids
692
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
+$479.31
成交量
$28,026.55
持仓数
RED CanidsRED CanidsRED Canids+1
TH3
THEHIGHLIFE
事件盈亏
-$202.31
成交量
$20,587.08
持仓数
Vivo Keyd Stars
PR4
PROBABILITYTRADER
事件盈亏
-$57.50
成交量
$11,499.99
持仓数
Vivo Keyd Stars
GO5
Gooooooollllllllll
事件盈亏
+$137.00
成交量
$9,130.09
持仓数
RED Canids
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
-$103.14
成交量
$6,915.50
持仓数
Vivo Keyd StarsVivo Keyd StarsVivo Keyd Stars+1
FB7
0xfB07…2542
事件盈亏
-$49.64
成交量
$6,071.59
持仓数
Vivo Keyd StarsVivo Keyd StarsVivo Keyd Stars+1
AM8
am100
事件盈亏
+$52.97
成交量
$4,750.39
持仓数
RED CanidsRED CanidsUnder+1

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 3.5 Games 以 7,200% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?(6,300%),以及 Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?(5,800%)。该市场总成交量已达 $93K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

免费开始