LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$116.4K Vol
2026年10月6日
Active
概率趋势
Team Vitality 87.5%
RED Canids 12.5%

核心摘要

根据「LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Match Winner 以压倒性的 8,750% 获胜概率主导市场;Game 2 Winner 以 7,950% 位居第二,Game 1 Winner 以 7,850% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $116.4K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Match Winner (8,750%):Match Winner 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 8,750¢,显示出市场的高度确信。仅该合约就已产生 $21.8K 的成交量。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Game 2 Winner (7,950%):作为最可行的替代选项,Game 2 Winner 保持着 7,950% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 7,950¢。
  • Game 1 Winner (7,850%):以 7,850% 的概率位列第三,市场对 Game 1 Winner 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (6,500%)、Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) (6,450%),以及 Any Player Penta Kill (5,900%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 First Blood in Game 2? 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Match Winner8750.0%$21.8K8750¢-8650¢
2Game 2 Winner7950.0%$11.9K7950¢-7850¢
3Game 1 Winner7850.0%$13.0K7850¢-7750¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6500.0%$6106500¢-6400¢
5Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)6450.0%$59.8K6450¢-6350¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
7First Blood in Game 2?5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5350.0%—5350¢-5250¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 1?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
28O/U 2.5 Games3100.0%$9.2K3100¢-3000¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3100.0%—3100¢-3000¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Team Vitality and RED Canids in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against RED Canids.

This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Team Vitality.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

ST1
StasPanda
事件盈亏
-$486.90
成交量
$21,382.78
持仓数
RED CanidsRED Canids
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
事件盈亏
+$413.46
成交量
$20,896.48
持仓数
Team VitalityTeam Vitality
693
0x6918…0027
事件盈亏
+$54.79
成交量
$15,910.99
持仓数
Team VitalityTeam VitalityTeam Vitality+1
ON4
one8tyfive
事件盈亏
-$441.89
成交量
$15,504.98
持仓数
RED Canids
VI5
vibing123
事件盈亏
+$492.34
成交量
$10,048.06
持仓数
Team Vitality
CA6
CAcap
事件盈亏
-$58.45
成交量
$8,769.91
持仓数
RED CanidsRED CanidsRED Canids+1
OM7
omnibus-076daa
事件盈亏
+$129.59
成交量
$8,540.45
持仓数
Team Vitality
CS8
csgamer11
事件盈亏
-$42.67
成交量
$6,589.91
持仓数
RED CanidsRED CanidsRED Canids

常见问题

当前市场对「LoL: Team Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Match Winner 以 8,750% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Game 2 Winner(7,950%),以及 Game 1 Winner(7,850%)。该市场总成交量已达 $116.4K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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