Fresno State vs. San Jose State

$449K Vol
2026年9月20日
Active
概率趋势
Fresno State 65.5%
San Jose State 34.5%

核心摘要

根据「Fresno State vs. San Jose State」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,O/U 29.5 以压倒性的 9,050% 获胜概率主导市场;O/U 31.5 以 8,900% 位居第二,O/U 33.5 以 8,550% 排名第三。该市场的下注量已达 $449K,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • O/U 29.5 (9,050%):O/U 29.5 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,050¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • O/U 31.5 (8,900%):作为最可行的替代选项,O/U 31.5 保持着 8,900% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 8,900¢。
  • O/U 33.5 (8,550%):以 8,550% 的概率位列第三,市场对 O/U 33.5 持谨慎怀疑态度,除非势头转变,否则视其为外围黑马。

🥉 第三梯队:长尾选项(合计约 0%)

在前三名之外,还有大量宏观变量与冷门结果被持续追踪。尽管单个概率偏低,但它们是投机交易者的重要对冲:

  • 替代选项:包括 O/U 35.5 (8,100%)、O/U 37.5 (7,600%),以及 San Jose State O/U 15.5 (7,300%)。
  • 投机成交:尽管统计概率偏低,像 O/U 39.5 这类长尾合约仍吸引着可观的关注。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1O/U 29.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
2O/U 31.58900.0%8900¢-8800¢
3O/U 33.58550.0%8550¢-8450¢
4O/U 35.58100.0%8100¢-8000¢
5O/U 37.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
6San Jose State O/U 15.57300.0%7300¢-7200¢
7O/U 39.57250.0%7250¢-7150¢
8Fresno State O/U 21.56750.0%6750¢-6650¢
9O/U 41.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
10Fresno State vs. San Jose State6550.0%$401.8K6550¢-6450¢
11Spread -0.56500.0%6500¢-6400¢
12Spread -1.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
13O/U 43.56250.0%6250¢-6150¢
14San Jose State O/U 18.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
15Spread -2.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
161H Moneyline6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
17O/U 45.55650.0%5650¢-5550¢
181H Spread -0.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
19Fresno State O/U 24.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
20Spread -3.55450.0%$335450¢-5350¢
211Q Moneyline5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
221H Spread -2.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
23O/U 47.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
242H Spread -2.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
25Spread -4.55050.0%$1.5K5050¢-4950¢
262H Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Fresno State O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28San Jose State O/U 2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
292Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
303Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
314Q Moneyline5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
321H O/U 18.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
331H O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
341H O/U 27.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
352H Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
362H Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
372H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
382H Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
392H Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
402H O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
412H O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
422H O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
432H O/U 26.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
442H O/U 29.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
451Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
461Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
471Q Spread -0.55000.0%$735000¢-4900¢
481Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
491Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
501Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
511Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
521Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
531Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
541Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
552Q Spread -5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
562Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
572Q Spread -2.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
582Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
592Q O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
602Q O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
612Q O/U 14.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
622Q O/U 17.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
632Q O/U 20.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
643Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
653Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
663Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
673Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
683Q O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
693Q O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
703Q O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
713Q O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
723Q O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
734Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
744Q Spread -0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
754Q Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
764Q Spread -3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
774Q O/U 7.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
784Q O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
794Q O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
804Q O/U 16.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
814Q O/U 19.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
82Fresno State 1H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
83Fresno State 1H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
84San Jose State 1H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
85San Jose State 1H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
86San Jose State 1H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
87Fresno State 2H O/U 11.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
88Fresno State 2H O/U 13.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
89Fresno State 2H O/U 15.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
90San Jose State 2H O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91San Jose State 2H O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
92San Jose State 2H O/U 12.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
932Q Spread -1.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
942Q Spread -0.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
954Q Spread -0.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
96San Jose State O/U 21.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
97Fresno State 1H O/U 13.54900.0%4900¢-4800¢
981H O/U 30.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
99Spread -5.54750.0%$13.2K4750¢-4650¢
1001H O/U 24.54700.0%4700¢-4600¢
1011Q Spread -0.54650.0%$734650¢-4550¢
102O/U 49.54550.0%$14.6K4550¢-4450¢
1033Q Spread -0.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
104Fresno State O/U 27.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
1051H Spread -3.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
1063Q Spread -1.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
1074Q Spread -1.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
108Spread -6.54450.0%$15.0K4450¢-4350¢
109O/U 51.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
1101H Spread -4.54050.0%4050¢-3950¢
1111H Spread -5.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
112Spread -7.53800.0%$2.8K3800¢-3700¢
113Spread -9.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
114Spread -8.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
115O/U 53.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
116Fresno State O/U 30.53600.0%3600¢-3500¢
117San Jose State O/U 24.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
118Spread -0.53450.0%3450¢-3350¢
119Spread -1.53300.0%3300¢-3200¢
120Spread -10.53200.0%3200¢-3100¢
121Spread -2.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
122O/U 55.53100.0%3100¢-3000¢
123Spread -11.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
1241H Spread -7.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
125Spread -12.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
126O/U 57.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
127Spread -13.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
128San Jose State O/U 27.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
129Fresno State O/U 33.52650.0%2650¢-2550¢
130Spread -4.52500.0%$1.5K2500¢-2400¢
131Spread -14.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢
132Spread -16.52250.0%2250¢-2150¢
133O/U 59.52200.0%2200¢-2100¢
134O/U 61.51750.0%1750¢-1650¢
135Spread -7.51700.0%$2.8K1700¢-1600¢
136O/U 63.51700.0%1700¢-1600¢
137Spread -19.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
138Spread -8.51500.0%1500¢-1400¢
139Spread -20.51450.0%$741450¢-1350¢
140Spread -10.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
141O/U 65.51200.0%1200¢-1100¢
142Spread -23.51100.0%$291100¢-1000¢
143Spread -11.51100.0%1100¢-1000¢
144Spread -22.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
145O/U 67.51050.0%1050¢-950¢
146O/U 69.51000.0%1000¢-900¢
147Spread -14.5800.0%800¢-700¢
148Spread -26.5550.0%550¢-450¢

裁决规则

In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Jose State, scheduled for September 19 at 11:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Jose State" if San Jose State win the game.

Overtime is included if played.

If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:21 PM
    $2,511.44

    Bought 4406.035088 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) at 0.57

  • 11:21 PM
    G3g3ros
    $10.00

    Bought 66.666667 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-20.5) at 0.15

  • 11:20 PM
    $1,812.75

    Bought 2832.421875 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-7.5) at 0.64

  • 11:16 PM
    FAFaroeseNationalist
    $502.50

    Bought 1005 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-4.5) at 0.5

  • 11:15 PM
    CLclement21
    $30.60

    Bought 60 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-4.5) at 0.51

  • 10:35 PM
    VIvincetrades
    $1.05

    Bought 7 Fresno State for Spread: Fresno State (-20.5) at 0.15

  • 10:32 PM
    MAmaz26
    $1,168.03

    Sold 2246.21 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 10:31 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $7.36

    Bought 16 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-3.5) at 0.46

  • 10:31 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $19.24

    Bought 37 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.52

  • 10:31 PM
    HOHomeRunHazard
    $361.08

    Bought 656.51 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) at 0.55

  • 10:30 PM
    MAmaz26
    $1,145.57

    Bought 2246.21 San Jose State for Spread: Fresno State (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 09:16 PM
    NInigiri99
    $21.00

    Bought 60 San Jose State for Fresno State vs. San Jose State at 0.35

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

WR1
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
事件盈亏
+$410.92
成交量
$22,486.11
持仓数
San Jose StateUnderSan Jose State+2
IM2
imjustkenisghey
事件盈亏
+$97.15
成交量
$19,426.16
持仓数
Fresno State
WE3
WeBuyHighWeSelllow
事件盈亏
-$117.58
成交量
$18,008.79
持仓数
Fresno StateFresno StateOver+1
PR4
primm
事件盈亏
-$90.00
成交量
$18,000.00
持仓数
San Jose State
HO5
HomeRunHazard
事件盈亏
-$191.46
成交量
$12,358.63
持仓数
OverSan Jose StateSan Jose State+1
NI6
nigiri99
事件盈亏
-$3.69
成交量
$4,217.99
持仓数
San Jose StateSan Jose StateSan Jose State+1
MO7
mooseborzoi
事件盈亏
+$10.01
成交量
$4,133.77
持仓数
Fresno StateSan Jose StateUnder
ES8
esportsbetter1
事件盈亏
+$20.61
成交量
$4,124.37
持仓数
San Jose State

常见问题

当前市场对「Fresno State vs. San Jose State」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,O/U 29.5 以 9,050% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 O/U 31.5(8,900%),以及 O/U 33.5(8,550%)。该市场总成交量已达 $449K,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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