Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

根据「Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?」的最新预测市场数据，交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前，October 31 以压倒性的 3,750% 获胜概率主导市场；September 30 以 335% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $733，反映出市场的高度关注。

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置，可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队：

🥇 第一梯队：绝对领跑者

• October 31 (3,750%)：October 31 目前拥有最高概率，深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 3,750¢，显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队：主要挑战者

• September 30 (335%)：作为最可行的替代选项，September 30 保持着 335% 的成真概率，其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 335¢。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify.

If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.