Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti

$1.5M Vol
2026年10月17日
Active
概率趋势
Lorenzo Musetti 80.5%
Yi Zhou 19.5%

核心摘要

根据「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti」的最新预测市场数据,交易者已形成强烈共识。

目前,Yi Zhou 以压倒性的 9,995% 获胜概率主导市场;Lorenzo Musetti 以 5% 位居第二。该市场的下注量已达 $1.5M,反映出市场的高度关注。

竞争梯队拆解

为了更好地评估各潜在结果的位置,可依据隐含概率与合约定价将市场划分为三个明显的交易梯队:

🥇 第一梯队:绝对领跑者

  • Yi Zhou (9,995%):Yi Zhou 目前拥有最高概率,深受订单簿青睐。看好该结果的交易者面对的「Buy Yes」合约价为 9,995¢,显示出市场的高度确信。

🥈 第二梯队:主要挑战者

  • Lorenzo Musetti (5%):作为最可行的替代选项,Lorenzo Musetti 保持着 5% 的成真概率,其「Buy Yes」份额目前成交价为 5¢。

完整订单簿与定价面板

下表列出了该预测池中所有结果的合约价格、概率与市场深度的完整拆解:

排名预测结果获胜概率成交量买入 Yes(成本)买入 No(成本)
1Yi Zhou9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Lorenzo Musetti5.0%—5¢95¢

裁决规则

This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Lorenzo Musetti.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Yi Zhou.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

交易动态

以下是该事件的交易动态。

Oct 9, 2026

  • 01:44 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $65.32

    Bought 502.461539 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.13

  • 01:44 PM
    DMdmoralez
    $724.17

    Sold 5570.5 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.13

  • 01:44 PM
    FIFishy-Acrrrer
    $87.00

    Bought 100 Lorenzo Musetti for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.87

  • 01:44 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $7.98

    Bought 57 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.14

  • 01:44 PM
    LOLorolorota09
    $35,010.02

    Bought 40709.326315 Lorenzo Musetti for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.86

  • 01:44 PM
    _T_test_i075_i078_1
    $0.65

    Bought 5 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.13

  • 01:44 PM
    OJojg
    $1.40

    Bought 10 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.14

  • 01:44 PM
    LOLorolorota09
    $290.40

    Sold 2640 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.11

  • 01:44 PM
    WYwyshooting
    $610.57

    Bought 693.83 Lorenzo Musetti for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.88

  • 01:44 PM
    MUMurkSniper
    $2.03

    Bought 2.306816 Lorenzo Musetti for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.88

  • 01:44 PM
    WEwendyalex
    $13.00

    Bought 100 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.13

  • 01:44 PM
    DEdejea
    $2.32

    Sold 19.32 Yi Zhou for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.12

正在押注该事件的鲸鱼钱包

HO1
hobo69
事件盈亏
-$15.00
成交量
$600.00
持仓数
Yi Zhou
HI2
hi774c
事件盈亏
-$269.70
成交量
$561.00
持仓数
Lorenzo Musetti
OC3
Octavian8
事件盈亏
+$163.64
成交量
$363.82
持仓数
Yi Zhou
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
事件盈亏
-$61.92
成交量
$353.82
持仓数
Lorenzo Musetti
WY5
wyshooting
事件盈亏
-$83.84
成交量
$325.00
持仓数
Lorenzo Musetti
VE6
VeryLucky888
事件盈亏
+$65.99
成交量
$231.52
持仓数
Yi Zhou
A67
0xa697…6031
事件盈亏
-$53.01
成交量
$200.03
持仓数
Lorenzo Musetti
6C8
0x6c8b…ec48
事件盈亏
+$0.09
成交量
$189.11
持仓数
Yi Zhou

常见问题

当前市场对「Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti」的共识是什么?

截至最新更新,Yi Zhou 以 9,995% 的获胜概率领跑,其次是 Lorenzo Musetti(5%)。该市场总成交量已达 $1.5M,显示出充足的流动性与高交易参与度。

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