"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?

$82.2K Vol
Dec 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
100-125M 61.3%
75-100M 34.6%
125-150M 3.9%
150-175M 1.8%
175M+ 0.4%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “"You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 100-125M is dominating the market with an overwhelming 53.4% chance of winning. 75-100M follows in second place at 44.6%, while 125-150M sits in third with 3.6%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $82.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 100-125M (53.4%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 100-125M is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 53¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $20.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 75-100M (44.6%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 75-100M maintains a 44.6% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 45¢.
  • 125-150M (3.6%): Sitting in third place with a 3.6% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 125-150M, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 150-175M (1.8%), 175M+ (0.4%), and 50-75M (0.2%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like <50M are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1100-125M53.4%$20.7K53¢47¢
275-100M44.6%$27.9K45¢55¢
3125-150M3.5%$11.7K4¢96¢
4150-175M1.8%$7.0K2¢98¢
5175M+0.4%$6.6K0¢100¢
650-75M0.1%$7.0K0¢100¢
7<50M0.1%$1.7K0¢100¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve according to how much "You Can See Everything" box office will gross domestically by November 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (October 16, 2026) and November 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including November 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome 100-125M currently trades at 53.4%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 28%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -25.4%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies 175M+ as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.4% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 9.1% — yielding an impressive +8.6% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include <50M (EV Gap: +1%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
100-125M53.4%28.0%-25.4%
75-100M44.6%44.0%-0.6%
125-150M3.5%2.3%-1.3%
150-175M1.8%0.1%-1.7%
175M+Best EV0.4%9.1%+8.6%
50-75M0.1%0.1%-0.0%
<50M0.1%1.0%+0.9%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 9, 2026

  • 09:42 PM
    AKakullichn
    $15.03

    Bought 25.054041 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? at 0.6

  • 09:33 PM
    AKakullichn
    $13.90

    Bought 231.7 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30? at 0.06

  • 08:51 PM
    212100w0e
    $13.82

    Bought 23.42 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? at 0.59

  • 04:00 PM
    PIPiEDawg
    $0.00

    Sold 10 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30? at 0

  • 03:58 PM
    PIPiEDawg
    $0.20

    Sold 20 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30? at 0.01

  • 03:56 PM
    PIPiEDawg
    $0.20

    Sold 20 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30? at 0.01

  • 03:56 PM
    BEBetaShrimp
    $0.00

    Sold 20 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30? at 0

  • 03:51 PM
    RORodnobrega
    $0.81

    Bought 80.645162 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30? at 0.01

  • 03:43 PM
    KOkorda77
    $0.00

    Sold 76 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30? at 0

  • 03:42 PM
    ——
    $3.59

    Sold 12.37 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? at 0.29

  • 03:40 PM
    RORodnobrega
    $1.33

    Bought 133.35742 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30? at 0.01

  • 03:39 PM
    RORodnobrega
    $0.00

    Bought 605.353 Yes for Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be at least $175M by November 30? at 0

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RW1
rw0ajdugzw
Event PnL
+$22,004.15
Volume
$38,432.74
Positions
NoNoNo+4
RO2
Rodnobrega
Event PnL
+$28.67
Volume
$3,253.39
Positions
YesYesYes
BA3
balthazar
Event PnL
-$401.95
Volume
$3,102.84
Positions
YesYesYes+2
MA4
Mataty1
Event PnL
-$634.96
Volume
$2,987.40
Positions
YesYes
XT5
xtxpleasecallme
Event PnL
-$312.51
Volume
$2,755.75
Positions
YesYesYes+3
RA6
raptor67
Event PnL
+$403.53
Volume
$2,204.15
Positions
NoYesYes+1
707
0x7021…40f2
Event PnL
+$1.10
Volume
$2,198.97
Positions
Yes
438
0x43cb…4271
Event PnL
+$51.08
Volume
$2,150.65
Positions
YesYesYes+4

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on ""You Can See Everything" total domestic gross by November 30?"?

As of the latest update, 100-125M leads the field as the frontrunner with a 53.4% win probability, followed by 75-100M at 44.6% and 125-150M at 3.6%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $82.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags 175M+ as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.4% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 9.1% — an Expected Value gap of +8.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around 100-125M. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 53.4%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 28%, a negative EV Gap of -25.4% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. <50M holds a positive EV Gap of +1%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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