XRP all time high by ___?

$321.8K Vol
Jan 1, 2027
Active
Probability Trend
December 31, 2026 4.3%
September 30, 2026 2.7%
March 31, 2026 0.1%
June 30, 2026 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “XRP all time high by ___?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, December 31, 2026 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6.8% chance of winning. September 30, 2026 follows in second place at 4.1%, while June 30, 2026 sits in third with 0.4%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $321.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • December 31, 2026 (6.8%): Currently commanding the highest probability, December 31, 2026 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $13.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • September 30, 2026 (4.1%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, September 30, 2026 maintains a 4.1% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4¢.
  • June 30, 2026 (0.4%): Sitting in third place with a 0.4% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward June 30, 2026, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1December 31, 20266.8%$13.5K93¢
2September 30, 20264.1%$14.3K96¢
3June 30, 20260.4%$83.9K100¢

Result Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies December 31, 2026 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 6.8% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 21.7% — yielding an impressive +14.9% EV Gap.
  • Under-the-Radar Dark Horses Other notable discrepancies include September 30, 2026 (EV Gap: +7.7%) and June 30, 2026 (EV Gap: +0.7%). These long-tail opportunities are heavily discounted by the live order books despite stronger statistical backing from our predictive model.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
December 31, 2026Best EV6.8%21.7%+14.9%
September 30, 20264.1%11.8%+7.7%
June 30, 20260.4%1.0%+0.7%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Jun 30, 2026

  • 02:08 AM
    MAMaynard36
    $0.00

    Bought 47142.93 Yes for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 0

Jun 29, 2026

  • 05:50 PM
    BUbuburas
    $2.01

    Bought 2.0304 No for XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? at 0.99

  • 05:48 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.013153 No for XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? at 0.99

  • 05:48 PM
    $2,385.11

    Bought 2433.79 No for XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? at 0.98

  • 03:55 AM
    B4b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.
    $0.21

    Sold 5.13 Yes for XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? at 0.04

Jun 28, 2026

  • 07:28 AM
    TAtanketes
    $4.98

    Bought 5.133461 No for XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? at 0.97

Jun 26, 2026

  • 09:19 PM
    03033033033
    $2,997.02

    Bought 2997.02 No for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 07:05 PM
    $100.08

    Sold 100.08 No for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 10:41 AM
    CUcunninghammonique
    $10.51

    Bought 10.510509 No for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 08:46 AM
    MOmonique94
    $10.59

    Bought 10.590589 No for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 08:38 AM
    EVevansjon
    $11.45

    Bought 11.45145 No for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 1

  • 07:56 AM
    GRgregory55
    $11.77

    Bought 11.77177 No for XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? at 1

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
Maynard36
Event PnL
-$23.57
Volume
$47,142.93
Positions
Yes
032
033033033
Event PnL
+$14.42
Volume
$27,630.00
Positions
No
6F3
0x6fEc…0442
Event PnL
+$12.50
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
No
F74
0xf705…3ca7
Event PnL
+$108.36
Volume
$17,818.26
Positions
NoNo
DO5
Dolba
Event PnL
-$2,243.38
Volume
$8,374.25
Positions
YesYesYes
VO6
Volku
Event PnL
-$83.16
Volume
$8,293.34
Positions
YesYesYes
997
0x993f…59a5
Event PnL
-$7.35
Volume
$5,291.62
Positions
Yes
C68
0xC6Ed…6508
Event PnL
-$56.23
Volume
$3,577.60
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "XRP all time high by ___?"?

As of the latest update, December 31, 2026 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6.8% win probability, followed by September 30, 2026 at 4.1% and June 30, 2026 at 0.4%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $321.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags December 31, 2026 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 6.8% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 21.7% — an Expected Value gap of +14.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Are there any high-value dark horse options hidden in the long-tail data?

Absolutely. Beyond the headline outcomes, our model highlights under-the-radar potential in lower-ranked options. September 30, 2026 holds a positive EV Gap of +7.7%, and June 30, 2026 shows +0.7%. These contracts are discounted by live order books despite stronger quantitative backing.

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