China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi

$315.9K Vol
Oct 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Qinwen Zheng 73.5%
Han Shi 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,960%, while China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $315.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $10 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,960%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,960% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,960¢.
  • China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,100%), China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi (8,550%), and Completed Match (5,600%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%$109995¢-9895¢
2China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.59960.0%—9960¢-9860¢
3China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.59950.0%$79950¢-9850¢
4China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Total Sets: O/U 2.59100.0%$89100¢-9000¢
5China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi8550.0%$411.7K8550¢-8450¢
6Completed Match5600.0%$1.6K5600¢-5500¢
7China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set Handicap +/-1.5410.0%$114410¢-310¢
8China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 10.540.0%—40¢60¢
9China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 Winner5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Han Shi in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Han Shi.

This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Qinwen Zheng.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 1, 2026

  • 12:34 AM
    POPoolymath
    $270.00

    Bought 300 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 12:04 AM
    DVdv-pm
    $41.69

    Bought 379 Han Shi for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.11

Sep 30, 2026

  • 11:56 PM
    KUkutsumiakia
    $994.13

    Bought 1104.59 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 11:54 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 11:49 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 11:35 PM
    ZGzgcdwf02
    $4.50

    Bought 5 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 11:24 PM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $30.65

    Bought 34.06 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 10:45 PM
    FRFRANK201310
    $5.00

    Bought 45.454546 Han Shi for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.11

  • 09:58 PM
    RPrplc-ftbl
    $9.89

    Bought 10.98888 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.9

  • 09:46 PM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $9.17

    Bought 83.33 Han Shi for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.11

  • 09:41 PM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $4.20

    Bought 38.21 Han Shi for China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi at 0.11

  • 09:15 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $34.79

    Bought 49 Qinwen Zheng for Set Handicap: Qinwen Zheng (-1.5) vs Han Shi (+1.5) at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KE1
KevinEZM427
Event PnL
-$151.97
Volume
$11,002.27
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
LI2
Lilybaeum
Event PnL
+$40.11
Volume
$7,970.38
Positions
Han Shi
XD3
XDownloadtrump
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$82.09
Volume
$3,702.03
Positions
Han Shi
9B5
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
+$2.30
Volume
$3,358.10
Positions
Han Shi
UP6
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$11.38
Volume
$2,275.70
Positions
Han Shi
JO7
jole24
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$1,999.99
Positions
Han Shi
208
0x20a6…0658
Event PnL
-$7.87
Volume
$1,573.33
Positions
Qinwen Zheng

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,960% and China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $315.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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