US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

$125.4K Vol
Sep 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Elena Rybakina 73.5%
Qinwen Zheng 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,400% chance of winning. US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,350%, while US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 sits in third with 5,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $125.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 (5,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,350¢.
  • US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,350%): Sitting in third place with a 5,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,150%), Completed Match (5,000%), and US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
2US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.55350.0%$955350¢-5250¢
3US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.55350.0%$3.2K5350¢-5250¢
4US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.54850.0%$28.2K4850¢-4750¢
10US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.54650.0%$1234650¢-4550¢
11US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.54150.0%$3854150¢-4050¢
12US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.53850.0%$7583850¢-3750¢
13US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner3350.0%3350¢-3250¢
14US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner3300.0%$123300¢-3200¢
15US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.53000.0%3000¢-2900¢
16US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina2650.0%$131.9K2650¢-2550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Elena Rybakina.

This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Qinwen Zheng.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    $45.23

    Bought 92.306123 Rybakina for Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:13 AM
    ROronaldooo
    $1.00

    Bought 2.040817 Rybakina for Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5) at 0.49

  • 11:10 AM
    AJajksbdlykwj
    $1.00

    Sold 3.7 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.27

  • 11:09 AM
    PIpirl
    $1.07

    Bought 1.465751 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:09 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.46

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:09 AM
    JEJerryyy2026
    $28.74

    Bought 102.642858 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.28

  • 11:08 AM
    ISisco23
    $5,704.26

    Bought 7814.06 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:01 AM
    DADanshan11
    $2.10

    Bought 3.44 Under 2.5 for Qinwen Zheng vs. Elena Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.61

  • 11:00 AM
    LILiquidPook
    $1.46

    Bought 2 Elena Rybakina for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.73

  • 11:00 AM
    SUsuntori
    $28.57

    Bought 102.035715 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.28

  • 10:59 AM
    ZHzhao0
    $1.62

    Sold 6 Qinwen Zheng for US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina at 0.27

  • 10:57 AM
    $146.34

    Bought 243.9 Under for Zheng vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$125.65
Volume
$8,369.43
Positions
Elena Rybakina
JU2
JustADonk
Event PnL
-$37.01
Volume
$7,403.00
Positions
Elena RybakinaRybakinaRybakina
CE3
0xce1f…910f
Event PnL
-$17.47
Volume
$3,495.56
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
GA4
gagarin59
Event PnL
+$16.55
Volume
$3,311.02
Positions
Qinwen ZhengZheng
BI5
biggy
Event PnL
+$13.56
Volume
$2,711.00
Positions
Elena Rybakina
ST6
StudyPrediction
Event PnL
+$10.93
Volume
$2,249.93
Positions
ZhengUnder 2.5Zheng
187
0x1861…2823
Event PnL
+$11.11
Volume
$2,222.00
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
GC8
GC-P
Event PnL
+$0.72
Volume
$1,923.63
Positions
Qinwen Zheng

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina"?

As of the latest update, US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,400% win probability, followed by US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5 at 5,350% and US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina Game Spread +/-3.5 at 5,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $125.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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