Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva

$106.6K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Xiaodi You 70.5%
Alina Charaeva 29.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,050% chance of winning. Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva sits in third with 8,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva (8,650%): Sitting in third place with a 8,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 Winner (8,000%), Completed Match (5,000%), and Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
2Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.59050.0%9050¢-8950¢
3Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva8650.0%$123.2K8650¢-8550¢
4Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 Winner8000.0%$218000¢-7900¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$1.9K5000¢-4900¢
6Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 21.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 23.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Total Sets: O/U 2.52300.0%$52300¢-2200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xiaodi You and Alina Charaeva in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Xiaodi You' if Xiaodi You advances against Alina Charaeva.

This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Xiaodi You.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:57 AM
    TItitops
    $0.34

    Bought 0.48 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

  • 10:39 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $6.66

    Bought 9.514286 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

  • 09:03 AM
    ABAbso74
    $5.00

    Bought 7.142856 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

  • 07:51 AM
    WIwileysuzanne-145
    $12.00

    Sold 400 No for Sao Paulo Open: Completed Match: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.03

  • 07:35 AM
    WIwileysuzanne-145
    $396.00

    Bought 400 No for Sao Paulo Open: Completed Match: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.99

  • 07:22 AM
    SUsuntori
    $4.76

    Bought 15.354839 Xiaodi You for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.31

  • 06:29 AM
    FOfor23
    $16.50

    Sold 550 No for Sao Paulo Open: Completed Match: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.03

  • 06:27 AM
    FOfor23
    $544.50

    Bought 550 No for Sao Paulo Open: Completed Match: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.99

  • 06:16 AM
    OSoska90
    $5.00

    Bought 7.142856 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

  • 06:13 AM
    $1.95

    Bought 2.785713 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

  • 05:42 AM
    $1.95

    Bought 2.785713 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

  • 05:32 AM
    LFLfg689
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Alina Charaeva for Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$59.44
Volume
$8,147.30
Positions
Alina Charaeva
BC2
0xBc43…7816
Event PnL
+$18.35
Volume
$3,666.36
Positions
Alina Charaeva
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$6.77
Volume
$2,253.07
Positions
Xiaodi YouXiaodi YouUnder 2.5
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$36.68
Volume
$1,467.31
Positions
Xiaodi You
9E5
0x9ec2…bd08
Event PnL
-$6.98
Volume
$1,395.00
Positions
Xiaodi You
576
0x57b2…6696
Event PnL
-$5.27
Volume
$1,054.19
Positions
Xiaodi You
AN7
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$5.14
Volume
$1,027.00
Positions
Xiaodi You
EV8
EVryBet4
Event PnL
-$4.86
Volume
$972.42
Positions
Xiaodi You

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva"?

As of the latest update, Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,050% win probability, followed by Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,050% and Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva at 8,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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