Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana

$420.5K Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Mary Stoiana 100.0%
Venus Williams 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $420.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $150 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Game Spread +/-5.5 (9,995%), Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana (5%), and Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 Winner (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Total Sets: O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$1509995¢-9895¢
2Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$699995¢-9895¢
4Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Game Spread +/-5.59995.0%$4039995¢-9895¢
5Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana5.0%$418.6K5¢95¢
6Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 Winner5.0%$1.3K5¢95¢
7Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$65¢95¢
8Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
9Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
10Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Match O/U 21.55.0%$265¢95¢
11Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Match O/U 22.55.0%—5¢95¢
12Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Match O/U 23.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Venus Williams and Mary Stoiana in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Venus Williams' if Venus Williams advances against Mary Stoiana.

This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Venus Williams.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:39 AM
    CLClaudeComboCrusher
    $340.00

    Bought 1999.99 Venus Williams for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.17

  • 12:04 AM
    BIbigwhkle2
    $3.78

    Bought 22.235295 Venus Williams for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.17

Nov 1, 2026

  • 11:10 PM
    CLclb-q
    $9.88

    Bought 11.7619 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.84

  • 10:41 PM
    CLClaudeComboCrusher
    $340.00

    Bought 1999.99 Venus Williams for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.17

  • 10:32 PM
    0X0xE2E22993CE1ED0DB91405eb50060a7d0e0530410-1785743163010
    $32.54

    Bought 38.28 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.85

  • 10:15 PM
    NWNW01
    $37.27

    Bought 232.9375 Venus Williams for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.16

  • 10:03 PM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $5.83

    Bought 6.94 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.84

  • 09:34 PM
    MSmscjava
    $20.00

    Bought 23.809524 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.84

  • 09:31 PM
    MSmscjava
    $30.00

    Bought 35.714286 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.84

  • 07:01 PM
    ETET65
    $42.00

    Bought 50 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.84

  • 07:00 PM
    0X0x0cf84f9e657662546cd2b0eb7aa654b10190b330-1793555837661
    $23.21

    Bought 27.63095 Mary Stoiana for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.84

  • 06:26 PM
    CLClaudeComboCrusher
    $393.33

    Bought 2313.7 Venus Williams for Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana at 0.17

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BR1
Bryan1316
Event PnL
-$589.80
Volume
$23,107.48
Positions
Venus Williams
DV2
dv-pm
Event PnL
+$504.90
Volume
$11,220.00
Positions
Mary Stoiana
PR3
prabam
Event PnL
+$40.01
Volume
$8,000.00
Positions
Mary Stoiana
CL4
ClaudeComboCrusher
Event PnL
-$218.25
Volume
$6,313.68
Positions
Venus Williams
0F5
0F62
Event PnL
+$8.34
Volume
$5,944.29
Positions
Mary Stoiana
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$102.13
Volume
$2,918.03
Positions
Mary Stoiana
PE7
Pequiman
Event PnL
-$19.38
Volume
$1,471.99
Positions
Mary Stoiana
WO8
Wowbobby
Event PnL
-$46.56
Volume
$1,429.35
Positions
Venus Williams

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,995% and Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $420.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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