
China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,850% chance of winning. China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 follows in second place at 5,600%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $195.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
- Completed Match (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 5850.0% | — | 5850¢ | -5750¢ |
| 2 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 | 5600.0% | $1.5K | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 3 | Completed Match | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 4 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4950.0% | $1.7K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 8 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Match O/U 21.5 | 4400.0% | $261 | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 9 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 4300.0% | $5 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 10 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Match O/U 22.5 | 4200.0% | $10 | 4200¢ | -4100¢ |
| 11 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 Winner | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 12 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 Winner | 3500.0% | $6 | 3500¢ | -3400¢ |
| 13 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Match O/U 23.5 | 3350.0% | $52 | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 14 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa | 3250.0% | $191.9K | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 15 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3200.0% | $34 | 3200¢ | -3100¢ |
| 16 | China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 2200.0% | — | 2200¢ | -2100¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Cristina Bucsa in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Cristina Bucsa.
This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Xinran Sun.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 3, 2026
- 12:16 AMMImirabu$1.00
Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34
- 12:16 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$9.52
Bought 14.208954 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
- 12:16 AMMImirabu$1.00
Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34
- 12:16 AMSUsuntori$1.90
Bought 2.835821 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
- 12:11 AM——$20.00
Bought 29.850745 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
- 12:09 AMFEferrariChampions2026$5,616.56
Bought 8382.925372 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
- 12:02 AMDAdavigrulke$1.09
Bought 1.626866 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
Oct 2, 2026
- 11:41 PMNEneutralwave23$93.43
Bought 139.44776 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
- 11:21 PMMImirabu$1.00
Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34
- 11:21 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$3.23
Bought 4.820896 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
- 10:53 PMMImirabu$1.00
Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34
- 10:53 PMARArmagedon1$1.40
Bought 2.089551 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa"?
As of the latest update, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,850% win probability, followed by China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 at 5,600% and Completed Match at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $195.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
