China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa

$195.5K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cristina Bucsa 67.5%
Xinran Sun 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,850% chance of winning. China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 follows in second place at 5,600%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $195.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
  • Completed Match (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), and China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
2China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.55600.0%$1.5K5600¢-5500¢
3Completed Match5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%$1.7K4950¢-4850¢
8China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Match O/U 21.54400.0%$2614400¢-4300¢
9China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 9.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
10China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Match O/U 22.54200.0%$104200¢-4100¢
11China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 2 Winner3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
12China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 Winner3500.0%$63500¢-3400¢
13China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Match O/U 23.53350.0%$523350¢-3250¢
14China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa3250.0%$191.9K3250¢-3150¢
15China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Total Sets: O/U 2.53200.0%$343200¢-3100¢
16China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 10.52200.0%—2200¢-2100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Cristina Bucsa in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Xinran Sun' if Xinran Sun advances against Cristina Bucsa.

This market will resolve to 'Cristina Bucsa' if Cristina Bucsa advances against Xinran Sun.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:16 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34

  • 12:16 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.52

    Bought 14.208954 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

  • 12:16 AM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34

  • 12:16 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 2.835821 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

  • 12:11 AM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 29.850745 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

  • 12:09 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $5,616.56

    Bought 8382.925372 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

  • 12:02 AM
    DAdavigrulke
    $1.09

    Bought 1.626866 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

Oct 2, 2026

  • 11:41 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $93.43

    Bought 139.44776 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

  • 11:21 PM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34

  • 11:21 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $3.23

    Bought 4.820896 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

  • 10:53 PM
    MImirabu
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Xinran Sun for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.34

  • 10:53 PM
    ARArmagedon1
    $1.40

    Bought 2.089551 Cristina Bucsa for China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
+$24.84
Volume
$148,022.58
Positions
Xinran Sun
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$1,587.85
Volume
$89,246.20
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
AG3
AGUGava
Event PnL
-$928.56
Volume
$29,999.98
Positions
Xinran Sun
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$2.84
Volume
$22,135.67
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$29.76
Volume
$10,999.99
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$41.92
Volume
$8,382.93
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$113.64
Volume
$7,575.75
Positions
Cristina Bucsa
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$103.30
Volume
$6,886.91
Positions
Cristina Bucsa

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,850% win probability, followed by China Open: Xinran Sun vs Cristina Bucsa Game Spread +/-3.5 at 5,600% and Completed Match at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $195.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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