Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu

$486.9K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Mary Stoiana 100.0%
Claire Liu 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $486.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $628.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.5 (55%), Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (45%), and Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 22.5 (45%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 23.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu9995.0%$628.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$2609995¢-9895¢
3Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner9955.0%$299955¢-9855¢
4Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Game Spread +/-1.555.0%55¢45¢
5Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Total Sets: O/U 2.545.0%$3345¢55¢
6Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 22.545.0%$6145¢55¢
7Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 23.545.0%45¢55¢
8Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Match O/U 21.55.0%$1.3K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Claire Liu in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Claire Liu.

This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Mary Stoiana.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 10:06 AM
    TItianshangdixiaweiwoduzhung1
    $20.00

    Bought 35.714286 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.56

  • 08:35 AM
    $32.45

    Sold 59 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.55

  • 03:21 AM
    0X0x3D5f0c8A9dFBa2a85A530615ff2c37B41C387e6f-1734549029483
    $33.86

    Sold 61.56 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.55

  • 02:56 AM
    PIPig-Trotter-Rice
    $20.00

    Bought 35.714286 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.56

  • 02:27 AM
    0X0x3D5f0c8A9dFBa2a85A530615ff2c37B41C387e6f-1734549029483
    $5.00

    Bought 8.928572 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.56

  • 01:53 AM
    $1.21

    Bought 2.75 Mary Stoiana for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.44

  • 01:53 AM
    $2.15

    Bought 4.886364 Mary Stoiana for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.44

  • 01:53 AM
    0X0x3D5f0c8A9dFBa2a85A530615ff2c37B41C387e6f-1734549029483
    $30.00

    Bought 52.631579 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.57

Sep 15, 2026

  • 11:26 PM
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.57

  • 11:26 PM
    $4.56

    Bought 8 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.57

  • 11:26 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 3.508772 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.57

  • 11:26 PM
    $33.63

    Bought 59 Claire Liu for Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$102.48
Volume
$6,831.80
Positions
Mary Stoiana
882
88M
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Claire Liu
LK3
lkjasdf
Event PnL
-$40.50
Volume
$2,700.00
Positions
Claire Liu
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Claire Liu
GE5
genrysetaj
Event PnL
-$2.13
Volume
$600.00
Positions
Claire Liu
CL6
clownly
Event PnL
+$3.00
Volume
$599.99
Positions
Mary Stoiana
9B7
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
+$7.80
Volume
$519.95
Positions
Mary Stoiana
A08
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$6.22
Volume
$415.00
Positions
Claire Liu

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu"?

As of the latest update, Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Sao Paulo Open: Mary Stoiana vs Claire Liu Set 2 Winner at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $486.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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