Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson

$616K Vol
Sep 25, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Malaika Rapolu 52.5%
Gabriela Knutson 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,500%, while Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $616K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,500¢.
  • Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Game Spread +/-0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match5500.0%$1.9K5500¢-5400¢
3Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson5250.0%$614.1K5250¢-5150¢
4Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Malaika Rapolu and Gabriela Knutson in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Malaika Rapolu' if Malaika Rapolu advances against Gabriela Knutson.

This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson' if Gabriela Knutson advances against Malaika Rapolu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 18, 2026

  • 11:32 AM
    ANAnnna009
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.63

  • 10:22 AM
    $7.48

    Bought 12.063491 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.62

  • 10:18 AM
    $1.46

    Sold 3.85 Malaika Rapolu for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.38

  • 10:18 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $13.61

    Sold 35.81 Malaika Rapolu for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.38

  • 10:14 AM
    0X0xecF37981a53F34931f92947C75c4BC4284Ae01dF-1776191341512
    $5.00

    Bought 5.0505 No for Caldas da Rainha: Completed Match: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.99

  • 10:07 AM
    $1.50

    Bought 3.846154 Malaika Rapolu for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.39

  • 10:07 AM
    PApashybk
    $20.00

    Bought 32.258065 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.62

  • 09:54 AM
    JOjoshybravo963
    $65.00

    Bought 166.666667 Malaika Rapolu for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.39

  • 09:52 AM
    $64.65

    Bought 105.983607 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.61

  • 09:51 AM
    $1.42

    Sold 3.65 Malaika Rapolu for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.39

  • 09:51 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $3.44

    Sold 8.6 Malaika Rapolu for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.4

  • 09:50 AM
    $112.25

    Bought 187.083332 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.6

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$31.85
Volume
$1,137.00
Positions
Malaika Rapolu
HO2
hobo69
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
VA3
ValiBB
Event PnL
+$52.88
Volume
$961.43
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
KN4
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$6.39
Volume
$895.93
Positions
Malaika Rapolu
DT5
DT9
Event PnL
-$63.02
Volume
$811.99
Positions
Malaika Rapolu
UN6
UNEB3154s4f251
Event PnL
+$49.04
Volume
$576.98
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
OC7
Octavian8
Event PnL
-$1.67
Volume
$333.33
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
598
0x5923…04b8
Event PnL
+$4.08
Volume
$237.35
Positions
Gabriela Knutson

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson"?

As of the latest update, Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,500% and Caldas da Rainha: Malaika Rapolu vs Gabriela Knutson at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $616K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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