
China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $361.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
- China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5 (9,050%), China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5 (9,050%), and China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5 (9,050%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 3 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 9950.0% | $792 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 21.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 5 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 22.5 | 9050.0% | $5 | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Match O/U 23.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 7 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $13.2K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez | 2850.0% | $345.7K | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 9 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Game Spread +/-4.5 | 950.0% | $1.2K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 10 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 400.0% | — | 400¢ | -300¢ |
| 11 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 45.0% | — | 45¢ | 55¢ |
| 12 | China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 Winner | 5.0% | $137 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Kamilla Rakhimova and Leylah Fernandez in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Kamilla Rakhimova' if Kamilla Rakhimova advances against Leylah Fernandez.
This market will resolve to 'Leylah Fernandez' if Leylah Fernandez advances against Kamilla Rakhimova.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 2, 2026
- 11:00 PMJOjonynisen$7.00
Bought 9.210525 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
- 10:52 PMMImirabu$1.00
Bought 2 Leylah Fernandez for Game Spread: Leylah Fernandez (-4.5) vs Kamilla Rakhimova (+4.5) at 0.5
- 10:52 PMARArmagedon1$1.00
Bought 1.960785 Kamilla Rakhimova for Game Spread: Leylah Fernandez (-4.5) vs Kamilla Rakhimova (+4.5) at 0.51
- 10:23 PMRKrkornetskyi$1.00
Bought 4 Kamilla Rakhimova for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.25
- 07:18 PMTITimPenis$1.44
Bought 5.76 Kamilla Rakhimova for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.25
- 05:10 PMMSmscjava$7.00
Bought 9.210525 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
- 04:58 PMSPsparch008$2.00
Bought 8 Kamilla Rakhimova for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.25
- 04:18 PMMAMasterMan79$4.83
Bought 6.355262 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
- 04:11 PMCAcaspar1248$1.14
Bought 1.5 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
- 03:57 PMPApaisa$1.00
Bought 1.315787 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
- 03:16 PMXXxxandtt$1.00
Bought 1.315787 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
- 03:02 PMJAjamesbonds$1.00
Bought 1.315787 Leylah Fernandez for China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez at 0.76
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez"?
As of the latest update, China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,955% and China Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leylah Fernandez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $361.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
