Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska

$89.4K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kaitlin Quevedo 54.5%
Nadia Podoroska 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,050% chance of winning. Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska follows in second place at 5,450%, while Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $89.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
  • Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner (5,400%): Sitting in third place with a 5,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 Winner (5,400%), Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 21.5 (5,050%), and Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 23.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.56050.0%6050¢-5950¢
2Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska5450.0%$87.8K5450¢-5350¢
3Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
4Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 Winner5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
5Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 21.55050.0%$1825050¢-4950¢
6Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 23.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Completed Match5000.0%$3.1K5000¢-4900¢
8Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Match O/U 22.54500.0%$204500¢-4400¢
13Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Total Sets: O/U 2.54000.0%$1394000¢-3900¢
14Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 10.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
15Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set Handicap +/-1.53500.0%$2.9K3500¢-3400¢
16Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Game Spread +/-1.52700.0%$122700¢-2600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kaitlin Quevedo and Nadia Podoroska in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 1:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Nadia Podoroska.

This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Kaitlin Quevedo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 20, 2026

  • 11:06 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Nadia Podoroska for Set Handicap: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Nadia Podoroska (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 11:06 PM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $64.00

    Bought 100 Nadia Podoroska for Set Handicap: Kaitlin Quevedo (-1.5) vs Nadia Podoroska (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 11:06 PM
    FOFoolingAround
    $55.00

    Bought 119.565218 Nadia Podoroska for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.46

  • 10:55 PM
    KAKangta2026
    $883.63

    Sold 1636.36 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.54

  • 10:46 PM
    SAsaeid1989
    $0.98

    Sold 1.81 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.54

  • 10:32 PM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $10.00

    Bought 21.739131 Nadia Podoroska for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.46

  • 10:21 PM
    CHChris2211
    $3.00

    Bought 5.454546 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55

  • 10:21 PM
    SAsaeid1989
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55

  • 10:20 PM
    RNRNGLuck
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Nadia Podoroska for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.46

  • 10:01 PM
    WAWarehouse.
    $49.00

    Bought 89.090908 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55

  • 09:49 PM
    0X0x0D5a1Cc699Aec6746a053600a9F40574Ea498519-1775427205547
    $3.00

    Bought 5.454546 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 0.55

  • 09:46 PM
    0X0x3a855BA8cDCE3fcE20dDF6C2867c4889cfA1E543-1772987428569
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Under for Quevedo vs. Podoroska: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$97.14
Volume
$12,525.60
Positions
Kaitlin QuevedoNadia PodoroskaOver+2
LI2
Lilybaeum
Event PnL
+$147.53
Volume
$10,989.21
Positions
Nadia Podoroska
NO3
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$0.68
Volume
$8,812.56
Positions
Kaitlin QuevedoUnder 2.5Nadia Podoroska
XA4
xabidaking
Event PnL
-$120.92
Volume
$8,585.45
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$100.48
Volume
$6,509.24
Positions
Nadia Podoroska
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$4.45
Volume
$6,146.38
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
887
88M
Event PnL
-$25.69
Volume
$5,138.74
Positions
Nadia Podoroska
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Nadia Podoroska

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska"?

As of the latest update, Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,050% win probability, followed by Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska at 5,450% and Sao Paulo Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Nadia Podoroska Set 1 Winner at 5,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $89.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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