Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson

$243.5K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Gabriela Knutson 70.0%
Mia Pohankova 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,955% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,950%, while Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $243.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner (9,955%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,955¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,950%), Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,950%), and Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Game Spread +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
2Completed Match9950.0%$18.1K9950¢-9850¢
3Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
4Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 9.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 10.59950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Total Sets: O/U 2.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
7Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Game Spread +/-1.57100.0%$177100¢-7000¢
8Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson6750.0%$225.3K6750¢-6650¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Gabriela Knutson in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Mia Pohankova' if Mia Pohankova advances against Gabriela Knutson.

This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Knutson' if Gabriela Knutson advances against Mia Pohankova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:55 AM
    FUFullOfHope
    $20.00

    Bought 40.816327 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.49

  • 11:55 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $17.36

    Bought 36.16 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.48

  • 11:55 AM
    SEseek333
    $49.00

    Bought 100 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.49

  • 11:55 AM
    TRtradecraft
    $41.80

    Bought 95 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.44

  • 11:55 AM
    SEseek333
    $43.00

    Bought 100 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.43

  • 11:55 AM
    $12.14

    Bought 31.96 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.38

  • 11:54 AM
    0X0xA0DC7ee1f7a230a1a20163271717f8F8752b586C-1770458016711
    $253.78

    Sold 685.9 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.37

  • 11:54 AM
    HAHaramhustle
    $500.00

    Bought 1315.789474 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.38

  • 11:53 AM
    $47.74

    Bought 125.64 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.38

  • 11:53 AM
    $2.40

    Bought 3.809524 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.63

  • 11:53 AM
    $5.96

    Sold 9.61 Gabriela Knutson for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.62

  • 11:53 AM
    AVavotrade
    $0.08

    Bought 0.22 Mia Pohankova for Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DV1
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$3.49
Volume
$698.50
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
GA2
gagarin59
Event PnL
+$3.28
Volume
$655.87
Positions
Mia Pohankova
PO3
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$199.76
Positions
Mia Pohankova
TI4
tinashi1199zz
Event PnL
-$2.40
Volume
$160.25
Positions
Mia Pohankova
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$1.83
Volume
$121.93
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
TE6
TE2137
Event PnL
-$7.65
Volume
$117.65
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
077
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$0.50
Volume
$99.09
Positions
Gabriela Knutson
NE8
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$0.34
Volume
$67.37
Positions
Gabriela Knutson

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson"?

As of the latest update, Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,955% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,950% and Caldas da Rainha: Mia Pohankova vs Gabriela Knutson Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $243.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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