Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo

$95.3K Vol
Sep 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kaitlin Quevedo 50.5%
Whitney Osuigwe 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 0.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $95.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (0.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match0.5%100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Whitney Osuigwe and Kaitlin Quevedo in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Whitney Osuigwe' if Whitney Osuigwe advances against Kaitlin Quevedo.

This market will resolve to 'Kaitlin Quevedo' if Kaitlin Quevedo advances against Whitney Osuigwe.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Completed Match as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 1% — yielding an impressive +0.5% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Completed MatchBest EV0.5%1.0%+0.5%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 10:13 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $18.68

    Bought 27.880598 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 08:44 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.33

    Bought 13.925374 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 08:01 AM
    0X0x726BB0A9632a4719609576684A6733Ded6b82914-1773767632930
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 03:30 AM
    PNPndorra
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 03:16 AM
    DADavidssss
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492538 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 12:54 AM
    SISimpsonit0
    $2.00

    Bought 2.941175 Over for Osuigwe vs. Quevedo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.68

Sep 15, 2026

  • 09:50 PM
    STStingray85000
    $1.53

    Sold 2.32 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.66

  • 08:54 PM
    LULuisaoL
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 08:50 PM
    GAGalileoshiftg
    $6.00

    Bought 12.765958 Over for Osuigwe vs. Quevedo: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.47

  • 08:44 PM
    OUourobot
    $2.00

    Bought 2.98 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 08:42 PM
    STStingray85000
    $1.56

    Bought 2.328357 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

  • 08:23 PM
    4E4eyeswhitedragon
    $4.69

    Bought 7 Kaitlin Quevedo for Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ST1
Stavenson
Event PnL
+$225.02
Volume
$33,810.43
Positions
Whitney OsuigweKaitlin QuevedoOver 2.5+3
9B2
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$306.57
Volume
$31,463.00
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
MR3
MrClaude11
Event PnL
+$3,512.19
Volume
$30,014.89
Positions
Whitney Osuigwe
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$44.15
Volume
$9,835.33
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$1,284.99
Volume
$8,862.02
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
656
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$300.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
KI7
kingflop
Event PnL
-$450.00
Volume
$3,333.33
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo
FL8
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$212.57
Volume
$1,466.00
Positions
Kaitlin Quevedo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Sao Paulo Open: Whitney Osuigwe vs Kaitlin Quevedo"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 0.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $95.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Completed Match as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 1% — an Expected Value gap of +0.5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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