China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Elise Mertens is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Jelena Ostapenko follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $101.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

• Elise Mertens (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Elise Mertens is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

• Jelena Ostapenko (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Jelena Ostapenko maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

This market refers to the tennis match between Jelena Ostapenko and Elise Mertens in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Elise Mertens.

This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Jelena Ostapenko.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.