
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $518.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $575.7K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,995%), Completed Match (9,950%), and US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 Winner (9,950%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova | 9995.0% | $575.7K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Completed Match | 9950.0% | $660 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 6 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 Winner | 9950.0% | $4.2K | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 7 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 9950.0% | $18 | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 8 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 9 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 21.5 | 50.0% | $106 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 10 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 22.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 11 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Match O/U 23.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 12 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-3.5 | 50.0% | $76 | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Navarro and Karolina Muchova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Emma Navarro' if Emma Navarro advances against Karolina Muchova.
This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Emma Navarro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 4, 2026
- 08:59 AMLELeila33$4.87
Bought 6.164552 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
- 08:46 AMNEneutralwave23$4.64
Bought 8.140349 Muchova for Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5) at 0.57
- 08:46 AMNEneutralwave23$4.70
Bought 5.949366 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
- 07:07 AMMOmooseborzoi$95.25
Bought 120.57 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
- 06:32 AM0X0x10605aeCcAD69024c393479e8fCffe8a96bc3f00-1772350147059$1.00
Bought 4.545453 Emma Navarro for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.22
- 06:07 AMGLGlidglad$2.00
Bought 9.090908 Emma Navarro for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.22
- 06:06 AMMOmooseborzoi$39.69
Bought 50.24 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
- 05:47 AMOLolaup3084$1.00
Bought 1.265819 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
- 03:41 AMEUeuroclydon$1.00
Bought 4.545453 Emma Navarro for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.22
- 01:52 AMTETeressa1$5.53
Bought 7 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
- 12:13 AMSAsashkabel$1.00
Bought 1.265819 Karolina Muchova for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.79
Sep 3, 2026
- 10:59 PM——$2.10
Sold 10 Emma Navarro for US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova at 0.21
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova"?
As of the latest update, US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,995% and US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchova Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $518.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
