China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova

$396.7K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karolina Muchova 74.5%
Liudmila Samsonova 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $396.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $37 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 (9,950%), China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 (9,950%), and China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner9995.0%$379995¢-9895¢
2China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.59950.0%$1999950¢-9850¢
4China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.59950.0%$6059950¢-9850¢
5China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.59950.0%$429950¢-9850¢
6China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
7China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova8750.0%$422.5K8750¢-8650¢
8Completed Match5150.0%$4845150¢-5050¢
9China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.52500.0%$2362500¢-2400¢
10China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set Handicap +/-1.5145.0%$1145¢-45¢
11China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Liudmila Samsonova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Liudmila Samsonova.

This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Karolina Muchova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 4, 2026

  • 12:02 PM
    ALAlert-Halving
    $36.40

    Bought 46.666663 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 11:55 AM
    RAratte
    $4.88

    Bought 6.25 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 11:53 AM
    FEfewios
    $60.00

    Bought 76.923077 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 11:41 AM
    SNsnooze
    $2.25

    Bought 5 Liudmila Samsonova for Set Handicap: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Liudmila Samsonova (+1.5) at 0.45

  • 11:04 AM
    ALAlice-In-Wonder-Land
    $20.00

    Bought 25.641022 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 10:56 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 10:49 AM
    1B1bertojosp
    $4.00

    Bought 5.128204 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 10:48 AM
    LAlai80
    $1.00

    Bought 1.28205 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78

  • 10:46 AM
    GRgrepxd3
    $11.00

    Bought 50 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22

  • 10:35 AM
    ——
    $4.00

    Bought 17.391305 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23

  • 10:32 AM
    ——
    $4.00

    Bought 17.391305 Liudmila Samsonova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23

  • 10:32 AM
    ALAlvurdi
    $40.00

    Bought 50.632909 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NE1
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$12.11
Volume
$1,592.55
Positions
Karolina Muchova
RO2
roro.cypher
Event PnL
-$17.01
Volume
$1,300.00
Positions
Liudmila Samsonova
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$0.09
Volume
$969.73
Positions
Liudmila SamsonovaKarolina Muchova
LU4
Luckyball
Event PnL
-$3.33
Volume
$666.00
Positions
Karolina Muchova
CL5
clownly
Event PnL
+$9.36
Volume
$635.71
Positions
Liudmila SamsonovaLiudmila Samsonova
JC6
jcasino
Event PnL
-$9.40
Volume
$626.80
Positions
Karolina Muchova
JA7
jaijiajaijai
Event PnL
-$4.51
Volume
$400.29
Positions
Karolina Muchova
QF8
qfwdsd1
Event PnL
-$1.99
Volume
$398.00
Positions
Karolina Muchova

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,995% and China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $396.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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