China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter

$149.9K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karolina Muchova 53.0%
Katie Boulter 46.9%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $149.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $146.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%), China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5%), and China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter9995.0%$146.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$2.2K9995¢-9895¢
3China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$6639995¢-9895¢
5China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%—5¢95¢
6China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
7China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
8China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
9China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 21.55.0%$885¢95¢
10China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 22.55.0%$795¢95¢
11China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Match O/U 23.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Katie Boulter in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Katie Boulter.

This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Karolina Muchova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 12:10 AM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 5.952381 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.84

  • 12:05 AM
    ——
    $4.21

    Bought 5.0119 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.84

  • 12:04 AM
    BRbrkalpha
    $25.00

    Bought 29.76 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.84

  • 12:00 AM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $4.25

    Bought 5.059518 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.84

  • 12:00 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $170.56

    Bought 1066 Katie Boulter for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.16

  • 12:00 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $1,268.23

    Bought 7926.44 Katie Boulter for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.16

Oct 1, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $4.30

    Bought 5 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.86

  • 11:50 PM
    ENennyway
    $19.20

    Bought 22.32 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.86

  • 11:46 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $5.36

    Bought 35.733334 Katie Boulter for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.15

  • 11:46 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $10.50

    Bought 75 Katie Boulter for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.14

  • 11:46 PM
    LILilybaeum
    $14.69

    Bought 104.928572 Katie Boulter for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.14

  • 10:50 PM
    MAMasterMan79
    $5.84

    Bought 6.712638 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter at 0.87

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

0X1
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$114.53
Volume
$7,635.25
Positions
Katie Boulter
RP2
rplc-ftbl
Event PnL
-$1.01
Volume
$7,472.80
Positions
Karolina Muchova
XD3
XDownloadtrump
Event PnL
+$90.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Karolina Muchova
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$74.66
Volume
$4,698.33
Positions
Katie BoulterKatie Boulter
655
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$472.28
Volume
$3,778.22
Positions
Karolina Muchova
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$475.43
Volume
$3,315.86
Positions
Katie BoulterOverOver
NE7
netvsee
Event PnL
-$388.75
Volume
$2,550.00
Positions
Katie Boulter
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$20.73
Volume
$2,242.98
Positions
Katie BoulterKarolina Muchova

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter Set 2 Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $149.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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