China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova

$80.3K Vol
Oct 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karolina Muchova 70.5%
Nikola Bartunkova 29.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 6,900%, while China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner sits in third with 6,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $80.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $78.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 6,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,900¢.
  • China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner (6,550%): Sitting in third place with a 6,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner (6,500%), China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,350%), and Completed Match (5,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova7050.0%$78.6K7050¢-6950¢
2China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.56900.0%—6900¢-6800¢
3China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner6550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
4China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 Winner6500.0%—6500¢-6400¢
5China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Game Spread +/-3.55350.0%$2735350¢-5250¢
6Completed Match5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
7China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 21.55050.0%$9245050¢-4950¢
8China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set Handicap +/-1.54750.0%$4024750¢-4650¢
12China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 9.54700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
13China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 22.54300.0%$104300¢-4200¢
14China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Match O/U 23.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
15China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Total Sets: O/U 2.53650.0%$1113650¢-3550¢
16China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 10.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Nikola Bartunkova in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Nikola Bartunkova.

This market will resolve to 'Nikola Bartunkova' if Nikola Bartunkova advances against Karolina Muchova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:24 AM
    CHcharnoz31
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.71

  • 01:22 AM
    ISisco23
    $7,881.00

    Bought 11100 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.71

  • 01:20 AM
    0X0xE4cE7E5dbc0e6746b06F8Be8B883f2DbDDeE7f8D-1780247072295
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.7

  • 01:01 AM
    FUfullt
    $1.55

    Bought 5 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 12:42 AM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 64.51613 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 12:29 AM
    GLglnk
    $26.00

    Bought 70.270271 Over 2.5 for Karolina Muchova vs. Nikola Bartunkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.37

Oct 7, 2026

  • 11:48 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $51.38

    Bought 73.4 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.7

  • 11:12 PM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.42857 Karolina Muchova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.7

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0xwise
    $8.74

    Bought 28.193549 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0xwise
    $1,048.96

    Bought 3383.741936 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.31

  • 11:05 PM
    0X0xwise
    $2,939.94

    Bought 9799.8 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.3

  • 10:57 PM
    CLclintondekoning
    $10.00

    Bought 33.333334 Nikola Bartunkova for China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova at 0.3

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
-$457.56
Volume
$30,508.92
Positions
Nikola Bartunkova
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$0.88
Volume
$16,246.58
Positions
Karolina Muchova
WI3
0xwise
Event PnL
-$100.17
Volume
$13,211.74
Positions
Nikola Bartunkova
IS4
isco23
Event PnL
-$53.91
Volume
$11,100.00
Positions
Karolina Muchova
MO5
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Nikola Bartunkova
2C6
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$118.55
Volume
$7,902.74
Positions
Karolina Muchova
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$108.70
Volume
$7,246.37
Positions
Karolina Muchova
JA8
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
+$3.66
Volume
$6,513.25
Positions
Nikola BartunkovaOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 6,900% and China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova Set 2 Winner at 6,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $80.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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