China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska

$90.5K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Dayana Yastremska 100.0%
Caty McNally 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 9,965%, while China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.5 sits in third with 45%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $80 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,965%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 9,965% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,965¢.
  • China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.5 (45%): Sitting in third place with a 45% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 23.5 (45%), China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (35%), and China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Game Spread +/-1.5 (35%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$809995¢-9895¢
2China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.59965.0%$29965¢-9865¢
3China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢
4China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 23.545.0%—45¢55¢
5China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Total Sets: O/U 2.535.0%—35¢65¢
6China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Game Spread +/-1.535.0%—35¢65¢
7China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska5.0%$290.0K5¢95¢
8China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 Winner5.0%$8415¢95¢
9China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 21.55.0%$2125¢95¢
10China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Match O/U 22.55.0%$235¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Caty McNally and Dayana Yastremska in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Dayana Yastremska.

This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Caty McNally.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 11:12 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.67

  • 10:55 PM
    PApablera
    $8.00

    Bought 17.391305 Caty McNally for Set Handicap: Caty McNally (-1.5) vs Dayana Yastremska (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 10:52 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.66

  • 10:51 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.515152 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.66

  • 10:24 PM
    FOForsenboy
    $3.00

    Bought 4.545455 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.66

  • 10:06 PM
    ELelwen
    $1.00

    Bought 2.857143 Dayana Yastremska for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.35

  • 09:50 PM
    MUmuymaurice
    $1.00

    Bought 1.515152 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.66

  • 09:43 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $0.80

    Sold 40 No for China Open: Completed Match: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.02

  • 09:40 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $1.60

    Bought 40 No for China Open: Completed Match: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.04

  • 09:27 PM
    ALAlexisIZL2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.515152 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.66

  • 09:27 PM
    ONonseason
    $2.00

    Bought 3.030302 Caty McNally for China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska at 0.66

  • 09:25 PM
    0X0x808715A886d38C09ec01C890a6e34D9465f8a213-1783166862911
    $99.96

    Bought 204 Over for McNally vs. Yastremska: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PO1
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$1.33
Volume
$468.20
Positions
UnderDayana YastremskaUnder+1
9B2
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
+$6.38
Volume
$425.00
Positions
Caty McNally
SL3
sl69
Event PnL
+$1.54
Volume
$307.00
Positions
Caty McNally
384
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$9.14
Volume
$280.38
Positions
Dayana Yastremska
WA5
wapol-E
Event PnL
-$1.20
Volume
$240.00
Positions
Dayana Yastremska
806
0x8087…2911
Event PnL
-$1.02
Volume
$204.00
Positions
Over
OM7
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$2.94
Volume
$78.38
Positions
Caty McNally
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$1.00
Volume
$66.67
Positions
Dayana Yastremska

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 9,965% and China Open: Caty McNally vs Dayana Yastremska Set 2 O/U 10.5 at 45%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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