
Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova sits in third with 8,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $257.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.0K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova (8,500%): Sitting in third place with a 8,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 (5,750%), Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 (5,600%), and Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,300%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $5.0K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova | 8500.0% | $205.6K | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 4 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 22.5 | 5750.0% | $4 | 5750¢ | -5650¢ |
| 5 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Game Spread +/-4.5 | 5600.0% | $18.8K | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 6 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5300.0% | $24.4K | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 7 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 Winner | 5150.0% | $110 | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 8 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | $3.4K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 21.5 | 5000.0% | $123 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Match O/U 23.5 | 4800.0% | — | 4800¢ | -4700¢ |
| 14 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 3700.0% | $32 | 3700¢ | -3600¢ |
| 15 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5.0% | — | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Liudmila Samsonova.
This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Marta Kostyuk.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 17, 2026
- 11:35 PMDRDrbogus$29.67
Bought 41.788731 Marta Kostyuk for Set 1 Winner: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.71
- 11:32 PMRAramatzo$1.00
Bought 4.545455 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 11:31 PMRAramatzo$1.00
Bought 4.545455 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.22
- 11:30 PM——$10.00
Bought 12.658228 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
- 11:26 PM——$50.00
Bought 63.291138 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.79
- 11:23 PMSPspiced$14.13
Bought 18.12 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:22 PMPApaisa$1.00
Bought 1.28205 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:18 PMREReskay$60.30
Bought 118.235295 Under for Kostyuk vs. Samsonova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.51
- 11:18 PMMAManiaxj$151.96
Bought 194.820513 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
- 11:17 PM0X0x4132070d75f124A5F2A4d13Ec0A4497DeE6BA5a5-1723503232987$500.00
Bought 2173.913044 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 11:16 PMELElpadrino99946$38.72
Bought 168.347827 Liudmila Samsonova for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.23
- 11:15 PMKEken5$200.00
Bought 256.410254 Marta Kostyuk for Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 0.78
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova"?
As of the latest update, Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 9,995% and Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova at 8,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $257.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
