US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

$101.1K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Marta Kostyuk 88.5%
Ekaterina Alexandrova 11.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,950% chance of winning. US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova follows in second place at 8,750%, while US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 Winner sits in third with 7,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $101.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 Winner (8,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova (8,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova maintains a 8,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,750¢.
  • US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 Winner (7,000%): Sitting in third place with a 7,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,250%), Completed Match (5,000%), and US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 Winner8950.0%$1.5K8950¢-8850¢
2US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova8750.0%$160.5K8750¢-8650¢
3US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 Winner7000.0%7000¢-6900¢
4US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set Handicap +/-1.56250.0%$3.9K6250¢-6150¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
8US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Game Spread +/-4.55000.0%$1.8K5000¢-4900¢
9US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match O/U 22.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%$335000¢-4900¢
14US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match O/U 21.53800.0%$4253800¢-3700¢
15US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Match O/U 23.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
16US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Total Sets: O/U 2.52700.0%$2772700¢-2600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Ekaterina Alexandrova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Ekaterina Alexandrova.

This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Alexandrova' if Ekaterina Alexandrova advances against Marta Kostyuk.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 4, 2026

  • 09:02 AM
    RIriitmo
    $37.92

    Bought 151.68 Ekaterina Alexandrova for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.25

  • 09:02 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $379.20

    Bought 1580 Ekaterina Alexandrova for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.24

  • 09:02 AM
    $7.46

    Bought 9.688308 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.77

  • 08:59 AM
    LELeila33
    $4.88

    Bought 6.33766 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.77

  • 08:52 AM
    AKAkateshi
    $8.47

    Bought 11 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.77

  • 08:52 AM
    JUjustadataguy
    $11.83

    Bought 15.36 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.77

  • 08:52 AM
    BRBrimoz
    $2,300.00

    Sold 10000 Ekaterina Alexandrova for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.23

  • 08:37 AM
    OVOVOXOS
    $20.00

    Bought 26.315787 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.76

  • 08:23 AM
    RIriitmo
    $97.50

    Bought 130 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.75

  • 08:17 AM
    MAmatthematike
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666665 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.75

  • 08:11 AM
    0X0xF7C3b6CB4BADC158f44CEF43364701D3A393EaC2-1778273249266
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666665 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.75

  • 08:07 AM
    PQpqcrypto
    $4.50

    Bought 6 Marta Kostyuk for US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 0.75

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
-$1,399.79
Volume
$39,999.99
Positions
Ekaterina Alexandrova
BC2
0xBc43…7816
Event PnL
+$72.13
Volume
$14,999.96
Positions
Marta Kostyuk
SA3
saltibiscoti
Event PnL
+$180.81
Volume
$12,053.76
Positions
Marta Kostyuk
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$6.52
Volume
$11,996.09
Positions
Marta Kostyuk
BR5
Brimoz
Event PnL
-$61.27
Volume
$11,713.81
Positions
Ekaterina Alexandrova
NE6
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$351.71
Volume
$7,575.27
Positions
Ekaterina Alexandrova
2C7
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$234.95
Volume
$5,221.20
Positions
Ekaterina Alexandrova
DE8
deepakrego
Event PnL
+$175.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Marta Kostyuk

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova"?

As of the latest update, US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,950% win probability, followed by US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at 8,750% and US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrova Set 2 Winner at 7,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $101.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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