China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda

$111.2K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Katarzyna Kawa 100.0%
Rinko Matsuda 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rinko Matsuda is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Katarzyna Kawa follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $111.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Rinko Matsuda (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rinko Matsuda is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Katarzyna Kawa (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Katarzyna Kawa maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Rinko Matsuda9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Katarzyna Kawa5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Rinko Matsuda in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 12:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Rinko Matsuda.

This market will resolve to 'Rinko Matsuda' if Rinko Matsuda advances against Katarzyna Kawa.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:28 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $15.90

    Bought 29.444445 Rinko Matsuda for Set Handicap: Katarzyna Kawa (-1.5) vs Rinko Matsuda (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 11:27 PM
    TEtestingwizard
    $1.00

    Bought 1.515152 Katarzyna Kawa for China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda at 0.66

  • 11:24 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $11.00

    Bought 23.913044 Over for Kawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.46

  • 11:23 PM
    0X0x1256E1f
    $45.05

    Bought 85 Under for Kawa vs. Matsuda: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.53

  • 11:23 PM
    FOForAndWithYou
    $128.00

    Bought 200 Katarzyna Kawa for China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda at 0.64

  • 08:38 PM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $161.91

    Bought 257 Katarzyna Kawa for China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda at 0.63

  • 07:03 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $18.30

    Sold 915 No for China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda at 0.02

  • 06:59 PM
    ——
    $896.70

    Bought 915 Yes for China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda at 0.98

  • 06:24 PM
    MYmymilly
    $1.25

    Bought 1.95 Katarzyna Kawa for China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda at 0.64

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$2,063.93
Volume
$5,409.45
Positions
Rinko Matsuda
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$2,039.98
Volume
$4,011.80
Positions
Katarzyna Kawa
RE3
RebornAthena
Event PnL
+$1,909.62
Volume
$3,998.78
Positions
Katarzyna Kawa
NE4
neutralwave23
Event PnL
+$2,380.85
Volume
$3,984.68
Positions
Katarzyna Kawa
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$2,356.83
Volume
$3,023.57
Positions
Rinko Matsuda
AN6
Anson41
Event PnL
+$471.24
Volume
$2,937.33
Positions
Katarzyna Kawa
ES7
eskk
Event PnL
-$336.63
Volume
$2,680.00
Positions
Rinko Matsuda
JE8
JerOri
Event PnL
-$32.26
Volume
$2,581.50
Positions
Katarzyna Kawa

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open, Qualification: Katarzyna Kawa vs Rinko Matsuda"?

As of the latest update, Rinko Matsuda leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Katarzyna Kawa at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $111.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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