China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi

$389K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Elvina Kalieva 61.5%
Han Shi 38.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,050%, while China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $389K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 10.5 (9,050%), China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 21.5 (9,050%), and China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 22.5 (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.59950.0%$29950¢-9850¢
2China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 8.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
3China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
4China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 10.59050.0%—9050¢-8950¢
5China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 21.59050.0%$79050¢-8950¢
6China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 22.59050.0%$39050¢-8950¢
7China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi5350.0%$381.5K5350¢-5250¢
8Completed Match5000.0%$6005000¢-4900¢
9China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Game Spread +/-2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set Handicap +/-1.51750.0%—1750¢-1650¢
12China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 Winner1700.0%$231700¢-1600¢
13China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set Handicap +/-1.5390.0%—390¢-290¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elvina Kalieva and Han Shi in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Han Shi.

This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Elvina Kalieva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 28, 2026

  • 11:38 PM
    RORO2yzDVl
    $2.58

    Sold 6 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.43

  • 11:09 PM
    SUsuntori
    $2.76

    Bought 4.842106 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57

  • 11:04 PM
    CBCbrojasg
    $7.00

    Bought 12.280702 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57

  • 10:43 PM
    JEJeanp2111
    $2.20

    Bought 5 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.44

  • 10:32 PM
    0X0x036a8f363900E5fD9850038252Da14445ddE14Ac-1779841665745
    $7.00

    Bought 12.280702 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57

  • 10:30 PM
    PGpgktrio2
    $3.99

    Bought 9.068182 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.44

  • 10:11 PM
    ANAndre0o
    $17.16

    Bought 39 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.44

  • 10:04 PM
    8888M
    $2,912.62

    Bought 5109.86 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57

  • 10:04 PM
    ——
    $9.80

    Bought 17.192983 Elvina Kalieva for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.57

  • 10:01 PM
    PApaulaoofc
    $97.32

    Bought 216.27 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.45

  • 09:43 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.87

    Bought 4.155556 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.45

  • 09:32 PM
    ASAsikins
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Han Shi for China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RA1
raybanman
Event PnL
-$46,376.61
Volume
$161,360.51
Positions
Han Shi
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$235.57
Volume
$64,172.64
Positions
Elvina KalievaHan Shi
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
+$24,530.20
Volume
$52,155.12
Positions
Elvina Kalieva
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$7,568.39
Volume
$28,308.85
Positions
Elvina Kalieva
BC5
0xBc43…7816
Event PnL
-$301.52
Volume
$28,240.80
Positions
Han Shi
HO6
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$3,880.37
Volume
$17,751.93
Positions
Elvina Kalieva
SE7
sentrio
Event PnL
+$20.89
Volume
$5,651.80
Positions
Elvina Kalieva
UP8
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$4,408.98
Volume
$5,319.71
Positions
Elvina Kalieva

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi"?

As of the latest update, China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,050% and China Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Han Shi Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $389K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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