Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova

$136.6K Vol
Sep 26, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Darya Astakhova 100.0%
Haruka Kaji 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 22.5 follows in second place at 7,400%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $136.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 23.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 22.5 (7,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 22.5 maintains a 7,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,400¢.
  • Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,000%), and Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova (350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Game Spread +/-3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 23.57450.0%7450¢-7350¢
2Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 22.57400.0%7400¢-7300¢
3Completed Match5000.0%$6.6K5000¢-4900¢
4Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova350.0%$147.2K350¢-250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Haruka Kaji and Darya Astakhova in the Korea Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Haruka Kaji' if Haruka Kaji advances against Darya Astakhova.

This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Haruka Kaji.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:22 AM
    HUHUB-1
    $21.20

    Bought 530 No for Korea Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.04

Sep 18, 2026

  • 11:56 PM
    PAPaperCut1k
    $30.00

    Bought 78.947369 Haruka Kaji for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.38

  • 11:28 PM
    SOsonderdonder
    $10.98

    Bought 17.709678 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.62

  • 11:28 PM
    SOsonderdonder
    $10.98

    Bought 17.709678 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.62

  • 10:34 PM
    WHwhispercatalyst
    $12.00

    Bought 20 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.6

  • 10:34 PM
    WHwhispercatalyst
    $12.00

    Bought 20 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.6

  • 10:29 PM
    WHwhispercatalyst
    $6.60

    Bought 11 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.6

  • 10:01 PM
    0X0x726BB0A9632a4719609576684A6733Ded6b82914-1773767632930
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.6

  • 09:58 PM
    DPdpmo
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333334 Darya Astakhova for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.6

  • 09:48 PM
    UNUNEB3154s4f251
    $194.70

    Bought 486.74 Haruka Kaji for Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.4

  • 08:26 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $44.22

    Sold 737 Yes for Korea Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.06

  • 08:22 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $722.26

    Bought 737 Yes for Korea Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova at 0.98

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

381
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$2.30
Volume
$500.55
Positions
Darya Astakhova
UN2
UNEB3154s4f251
Event PnL
-$12.17
Volume
$486.74
Positions
Haruka Kaji
PA3
PaperCut1k
Event PnL
-$0.39
Volume
$78.95
Positions
Haruka Kaji
WH4
whispercatalyst
Event PnL
+$1.28
Volume
$51.00
Positions
Darya Astakhova
455
0x45EE…0598
Event PnL
-$1.22
Volume
$49.31
Positions
Haruka Kaji
SO6
sonderdonder
Event PnL
+$0.18
Volume
$35.42
Positions
Darya Astakhova
BE7
betfun...
Event PnL
+$0.26
Volume
$17.00
Positions
Darya Astakhova
728
0x726B…2930
Event PnL
+$0.21
Volume
$8.33
Positions
Darya Astakhova

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova"?

As of the latest update, Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by Korea Open, Qualification: Haruka Kaji vs Darya Astakhova Match O/U 22.5 at 7,400% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $136.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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