China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek

$280K Vol
Oct 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Iga Swiatek 91.4%
Iva Jovic 8.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 8,350%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $280K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 (8,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 8,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,350¢.
  • Completed Match (5,250%): Sitting in third place with a 5,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%), and China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
2China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.58350.0%$12.5K8350¢-8250¢
3Completed Match5250.0%$8265250¢-5150¢
4China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$6465000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Total Sets: O/U 2.51400.0%$5051400¢-1300¢
10China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 Winner1200.0%$501200¢-1100¢
11China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Match O/U 21.51200.0%$7.7K1200¢-1100¢
12China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek455.0%$276.7K455¢-355¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva Jovic advances against Iga Swiatek.

This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Iva Jovic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:49 AM
    00000brokie000
    $620.00

    Bought 939.393938 Iga Swiatek for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.66

  • 12:38 AM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $10.00

    Bought 28.571429 Iva Jovic for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.35

  • 12:38 AM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $50.00

    Bought 90.909091 Iva Jovic for Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Iva Jovic (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 12:31 AM
    SUsuperlarry
    $50.00

    Bought 75.757576 Iga Swiatek for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.66

  • 12:31 AM
    0X0xE4cE7E5dbc0e6746b06F8Be8B883f2DbDDeE7f8D-1780247072295
    $2.00

    Bought 3.030302 Iga Swiatek for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.66

  • 12:30 AM
    CHChrisRocha
    $7.50

    Bought 21.428572 Iva Jovic for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.35

  • 12:22 AM
    GAgarylovestrading
    $5.85

    Bought 8.863635 Iga Swiatek for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.66

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0xa34f2df7D3E8a46990A680bF8a1Cb617C8934d3A-1788348445810
    $105.00

    Bought 300 Iva Jovic for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.35

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:52 PM
    USUsercoevi
    $8.78

    Sold 16.26 Iva Jovic for Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Iva Jovic (+1.5) at 0.54

  • 11:41 PM
    GAgarylovestrading
    $11.14

    Bought 16.878788 Iga Swiatek for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.66

  • 11:40 PM
    GYgysh.qs
    $200.00

    Bought 571.428572 Iva Jovic for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.35

  • 11:39 PM
    LOlootsheeey
    $20.80

    Sold 32 Iga Swiatek for China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$46.71
Volume
$9,339.55
Positions
Iva Jovic
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$43.12
Volume
$8,623.81
Positions
Iva Jovic
DV3
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$33.12
Volume
$6,624.50
Positions
Iga Swiatek
9B4
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$26.00
Volume
$5,199.00
Positions
Iga Swiatek
MO5
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$1.06
Volume
$3,648.90
Positions
Iga Swiatek
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$0.31
Volume
$2,333.83
Positions
Iga SwiatekUnder
SA7
SALADITO
Event PnL
-$6.30
Volume
$1,630.76
Positions
Over
008
000brokie000
Event PnL
-$4.70
Volume
$939.39
Positions
Iga Swiatek

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set 2 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by China Open: Iva Jovic vs Iga Swiatek Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 8,350% and Completed Match at 5,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $280K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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