Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

$422.6K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Francisca Jorge 86.5%
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 13.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 9,990%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $422.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,990%): Sitting in third place with a 9,990% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Match O/U 21.5 (9,850%), Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Match O/U 22.5 (9,850%), and Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Match O/U 23.5 (9,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
2Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 9.59995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Total Sets: O/U 2.59990.0%$1869990¢-9890¢
4Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Match O/U 21.59850.0%$539850¢-9750¢
5Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Match O/U 22.59850.0%$29850¢-9750¢
6Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Match O/U 23.59850.0%9850¢-9750¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva3200.0%$484.9K3200¢-3100¢
10Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 Winner5.0%95¢
11Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Francisca Jorge and Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva in the Caldas da Rainha, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Francisca Jorge' if Francisca Jorge advances against Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva.

This market will resolve to 'Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva' if Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva advances against Francisca Jorge.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 17, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    RTrtmluck
    $10.00

    Bought 15.384614 Francisca Jorge for Set Handicap: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (-1.5) vs Francisca Jorge (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:12 AM
    RTrtmluck
    $10.05

    Bought 15.461537 Francisca Jorge for Set Handicap: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (-1.5) vs Francisca Jorge (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 10:46 AM
    JUJuan12345678
    $20.00

    Bought 33.898304 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.59

  • 10:10 AM
    JOJooboo123
    $100.00

    Bought 238.095239 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.42

  • 09:13 AM
    NInigiri99
    $46.62

    Bought 111 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.42

  • 08:59 AM
    NInigiri99
    $5.04

    Bought 12 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.42

  • 08:53 AM
    OCOctavian8
    $200.00

    Bought 338.983051 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.59

  • 08:09 AM
    BUbunefrancis
    $0.85

    Sold 2.08 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.41

  • 07:35 AM
    EAearghu8i
    $3.05

    Bought 7.261905 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.42

  • 07:35 AM
    SHShowmethemoney6
    $57.98

    Sold 99.97 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.58

  • 07:30 AM
    NInigiri99
    $9.24

    Bought 22 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.42

  • 07:28 AM
    NInigiri99
    $4.62

    Bought 11 Francisca Jorge for Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

071
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$675.60
Volume
$15,363.09
Positions
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$459.18
Volume
$10,204.06
Positions
Francisca Jorge
PL3
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$183.67
Volume
$4,081.63
Positions
Francisca Jorge
8A4
0x8a3a…5025
Event PnL
-$221.76
Volume
$2,357.24
Positions
Francisca Jorge
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$115.99
Volume
$2,253.00
Positions
Francisca JorgeVictoria Jimenez Kasintseva
KN6
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$93.95
Volume
$1,631.78
Positions
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$72.38
Volume
$1,316.00
Positions
Francisca Jorge
GA8
GamblingAddict12345
Event PnL
+$72.96
Volume
$1,122.44
Positions
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva"?

As of the latest update, Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Set 2 O/U 9.5 at 9,995% and Caldas da Rainha: Francisca Jorge vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,990%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $422.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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