China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai

$425.9K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Zhuoxuan Bai 54.0%
Jiaqi Wang 46.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,545% chance of winning. China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 5,150%, while China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5 sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $425.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,545%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,545¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $176 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 5,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,150¢.
  • China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,050%), China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 21.5 (5,005%), and China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 Winner (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.55545.0%$1765545¢-5445¢
2China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.55150.0%$705150¢-5050¢
3China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.55150.0%$655150¢-5050¢
4China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 9.55050.0%$655050¢-4950¢
5China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 21.55005.0%$215005¢-4905¢
6China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 Winner5000.0%$1885000¢-4900¢
7China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 22.55000.0%$1415000¢-4900¢
11China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$1765000¢-4900¢
12China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Match O/U 23.54985.0%$104985¢-4885¢
13China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai4525.0%$420.9K4525¢-4425¢
14China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 2 Winner4235.0%$184235¢-4135¢
15China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Total Sets: O/U 2.53000.0%$1.0K3000¢-2900¢
16Completed Match950.0%$3.2K950¢-850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Wang and Zhuoxuan Bai in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Zhuoxuan Bai.

This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Jiaqi Wang.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 28, 2026

  • 11:59 PM
    HOhoanhlee
    $5.00

    Bought 6.33 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 11:58 PM
    ——
    $7.80

    Sold 10 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.78

  • 10:58 PM
    LOlovefield
    $20.80

    Bought 520 No for China Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.04

  • 09:58 PM
    ANAndreyIonov
    $7.98

    Bought 10.1 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 09:35 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Zhuoxuan Bai for Set Handicap: Zhuoxuan Bai (-1.5) vs Jiaqi Wang (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 09:30 PM
    STStupidGamble
    $3.95

    Bought 5 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 09:25 PM
    RERedLightFtw
    $3.95

    Bought 5 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.79

  • 09:25 PM
    0X0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516
    $140.40

    Bought 668.58 Jiaqi Wang for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.21

  • 09:24 PM
    0X0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516
    $126.00

    Bought 600 Jiaqi Wang for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.21

  • 09:09 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.25 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.8

  • 09:01 PM
    ——
    $93.82

    Bought 117.275 Zhuoxuan Bai for China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai at 0.8

  • 09:01 PM
    ——
    $18.69

    Bought 30.639343 Zhuoxuan Bai for Set Handicap: Zhuoxuan Bai (-1.5) vs Jiaqi Wang (+1.5) at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

241
0x241A…1516
Event PnL
+$16.85
Volume
$93,957.00
Positions
Jiaqi Wang
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$24,085.80
Volume
$59,136.61
Positions
Zhuoxuan Bai
HM3
HMLSF
Event PnL
-$12,502.05
Volume
$53,652.86
Positions
Zhuoxuan Bai
LO4
lovefield
Event PnL
+$220.68
Volume
$41,594.98
Positions
Jiaqi WangNo
EZ5
ezMerge
Event PnL
-$15,269.12
Volume
$34,629.17
Positions
Zhuoxuan Bai
MR6
MrClaude11
Event PnL
+$12,522.02
Volume
$33,718.53
Positions
Jiaqi Wang
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$9,928.82
Volume
$26,403.18
Positions
Zhuoxuan Bai
RN8
RN1
Event PnL
-$8,976.48
Volume
$15,346.15
Positions
Zhuoxuan Bai

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai"?

As of the latest update, China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,545% win probability, followed by China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 5,150% and China Open, Qualification: Jiaqi Wang vs Zhuoxuan Bai Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $425.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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