China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng

$350.6K Vol
Oct 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Qinwen Zheng 76.5%
Alina Charaeva 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,100% chance of winning. China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,750%, while China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.5 sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $350.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner (7,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (6,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,750¢.
  • China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.5 (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.5 (6,500%), Completed Match (5,250%), and China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner7100.0%—7100¢-7000¢
2China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.56750.0%$4.2K6750¢-6650¢
3China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
4China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.56500.0%$4.6K6500¢-6400¢
5Completed Match5250.0%$4385250¢-5150¢
6China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Game Spread +/-5.55000.0%$1.2K5000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.53250.0%$9.3K3250¢-3150¢
12China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng2050.0%$366.2K2050¢-1950¢
13China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢
14China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner5.0%$1.6K5¢95¢
15China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
16China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Qinwen Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Alina Charaeva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:39 AM
    HAHaramhustle
    $52.00

    Bought 208 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.25

  • 12:35 AM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $49.75

    Bought 78.96875 Alina Charaeva for Game Spread: Qinwen Zheng (-5.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+5.5) at 0.63

  • 12:35 AM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $50.00

    Bought 104.166667 Alina Charaeva for Set Handicap: Qinwen Zheng (-1.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+1.5) at 0.48

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:32 PM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.76

  • 11:29 PM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $50.00

    Bought 79.365078 Alina Charaeva for Game Spread: Qinwen Zheng (-5.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+5.5) at 0.63

  • 11:29 PM
    ALalberthegreat88
    $70.00

    Bought 145.833334 Alina Charaeva for Set Handicap: Qinwen Zheng (-1.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 11:15 PM
    RKrkornetskyi
    $1.00

    Bought 4 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.25

  • 10:18 PM
    EDedeanda
    $1.90

    Bought 2.5 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.76

  • 10:13 PM
    TITimPenis
    $1.39

    Bought 5.56 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.25

  • 09:42 PM
    ARArmagedon1
    $1.30

    Bought 2.063493 Alina Charaeva for Game Spread: Qinwen Zheng (-5.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+5.5) at 0.63

  • 09:27 PM
    MRmrd3gen
    $41.79

    Bought 54.99 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.76

  • 09:19 PM
    ALAlexisIZL2
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263158 Qinwen Zheng for Game Spread: Qinwen Zheng (-5.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+5.5) at 0.38

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
-$51.38
Volume
$29,000.00
Positions
Alina Charaeva
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$5.89
Volume
$21,221.32
Positions
Qinwen ZhengUnder 2.5Under+3
883
88M
Event PnL
-$1.64
Volume
$8,077.50
Positions
OverOver 2.5
9B4
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$49.16
Volume
$6,214.58
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
MA5
madkkee
Event PnL
-$129.87
Volume
$5,194.81
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
326
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$61.74
Volume
$4,116.26
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
LI7
Lilybaeum
Event PnL
+$1.06
Volume
$4,025.15
Positions
Alina Charaeva
SU8
suntori
Event PnL
+$19.21
Volume
$3,786.11
Positions
Alina CharaevaAlina Charaeva

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,100% win probability, followed by China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 6,750% and China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.5 at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $350.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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