China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal

$147.7K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alina Charaeva 88.5%
Sonay Kartal 11.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $147.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal (9,550%), China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 2 Winner (9,250%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 Winner9995.0%$2.2K9995¢-9895¢
2China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal9550.0%$184.7K9550¢-9450¢
5China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 2 Winner9250.0%$29250¢-9150¢
6Completed Match5000.0%$2.3K5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Match O/U 22.55000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%$965000¢-4900¢
13China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Match O/U 21.51050.0%$2291050¢-950¢
14China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Total Sets: O/U 2.5850.0%$18850¢-750¢
15China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set Handicap +/-1.550.0%$41750¢50¢
16China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alina Charaeva and Sonay Kartal in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Sonay Kartal.

This market will resolve to 'Sonay Kartal' if Sonay Kartal advances against Alina Charaeva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:21 AM
    ——
    $5.08

    Bought 13.72 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.37

Oct 4, 2026

  • 11:38 PM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 Sonay Kartal for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.64

  • 11:32 PM
    NINielmiketips
    $1.86

    Bought 5.027028 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.37

  • 11:02 PM
    GRGreenCrow
    $32.00

    Bought 50 Sonay Kartal for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.64

  • 10:23 PM
    JOJorgeBrasla
    $3.44

    Bought 5.37 Sonay Kartal for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.64

  • 09:58 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $1,559.46

    Bought 2436.65625 Sonay Kartal for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.64

  • 09:14 PM
    NEnexussim.ai
    $140.00

    Bought 378.378379 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.37

  • 09:04 PM
    MYMyUserName44
    $4.03

    Bought 6.296875 Sonay Kartal for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.64

  • 08:54 PM
    MImishagr
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Alina Charaeva for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.37

  • 08:42 PM
    ——
    $22.08

    Bought 35.05 Sonay Kartal for China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.63

  • 08:41 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $18.00

    Bought 45 Alina Charaeva for Set 1 Winner: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.4

  • 08:41 PM
    ——
    $5.60

    Bought 14 Alina Charaeva for Set 1 Winner: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$39.67
Volume
$12,869.91
Positions
Sonay Kartal
MO2
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$9,999.97
Positions
Alina Charaeva
OM3
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$15.28
Volume
$3,055.13
Positions
Sonay Kartal
LU4
LucianoRS
Event PnL
-$14.98
Volume
$2,999.96
Positions
Alina Charaeva
RO5
roro.cypher
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Alina Charaeva
KI6
kingflop
Event PnL
+$18.71
Volume
$1,064.03
Positions
Sonay Kartal
NM7
NM-P
Event PnL
-$4.74
Volume
$947.20
Positions
Alina Charaeva
GC8
GC-P
Event PnL
-$4.02
Volume
$817.65
Positions
Alina Charaeva

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 9,995% and China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Sonay Kartal Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $147.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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