China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng

$123.5K Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Qinwen Zheng 80.5%
Marie Bouzkova 22.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $123.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.5 (5,000%), China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5000.0%$3.0K5000¢-4900¢
2China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%$485000¢-4900¢
5China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$3945000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 21.54150.0%$824150¢-4050¢
11China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set Handicap +/-1.53900.0%$4543900¢-3800¢
12China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Match O/U 22.53850.0%$2.4K3850¢-3750¢
13China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Total Sets: O/U 2.53450.0%$2353450¢-3350¢
14China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 2 Winner3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
15China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng2350.0%$141.1K2350¢-2250¢
16China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 Winner1550.0%$9861550¢-1450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Qinwen Zheng in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Qinwen Zheng.

This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Marie Bouzkova.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $16.57

    Bought 28.57 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 12:17 AM
    0X0x31E1E9FcB4250D2d062A34C93f233945577D1e09-1771820169022
    $1.00

    Bought 1.538462 Marie Bouzkova for Set Handicap: Qinwen Zheng (-1.5) vs Marie Bouzkova (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 12:07 AM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Over for Bouzkova vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.54

  • 12:03 AM
    00000brokie000
    $220.00

    Bought 379.310345 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

Oct 4, 2026

  • 11:53 PM
    EPepistemic
    $58.00

    Bought 100 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 11:51 PM
    ——
    $16.43

    Sold 36.5 Over for Bouzkova vs. Zheng: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.45

  • 11:37 PM
    SWSweatypalms447
    $0.55

    Sold 1.32 Marie Bouzkova for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.42

  • 11:37 PM
    SWSweatypalms447
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 Marie Bouzkova for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.43

  • 11:02 PM
    GRGreenCrow
    $29.00

    Bought 50 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 10:29 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $13.95

    Bought 24.051723 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 10:24 PM
    TITimPenis
    $1.05

    Bought 1.810345 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

  • 09:57 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5.172414 Qinwen Zheng for China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng at 0.58

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
CORGI777
Event PnL
-$82.74
Volume
$16,555.00
Positions
Marie Bouzkova
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$19.81
Volume
$3,961.63
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$16.04
Volume
$3,059.17
Positions
Qinwen ZhengOverUnder 2.5
MO4
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$12.49
Volume
$2,497.80
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
RO5
roldy
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
KN6
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
OM7
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$8.49
Volume
$1,426.00
Positions
Qinwen Zheng
NM8
NM-P
Event PnL
+$7.68
Volume
$1,204.96
Positions
Qinwen Zheng

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 5,000% and China Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Qinwen Zheng Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $123.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started