Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva

$398.1K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Anna Bondar 52.5%
Alina Charaeva 47.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $398.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (50%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 50¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.2K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match50.0%$4.2K50¢50¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Alina Charaeva in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Alina Charaeva.

This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Anna Bondar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Completed Match as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 50% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 99% — yielding an impressive +49% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Completed MatchBest EV50.0%99.0%+49.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:24 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $2,561.95

    Bought 7116.54 Alina Charaeva for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.36

  • 11:07 PM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 26.444445 Alina Charaeva for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.36

  • 11:04 PM
    0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
    $4.82

    Bought 9.649216 Under for Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.5

  • 11:04 PM
    0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
    $4.87

    Bought 9.54902 Over for Bondar vs. Charaeva: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.51

  • 11:04 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $6.00

    Sold 100 No for Korea Open: Completed Match: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.06

  • 11:04 PM
    0X0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
    $4.84

    Bought 13.444445 Alina Charaeva for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.36

  • 11:01 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $96.00

    Bought 100 No for Korea Open: Completed Match: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.96

  • 11:01 PM
    RKrkornetskyi
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 Alina Charaeva for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.36

  • 10:00 PM
    USuser0000000
    $25.60

    Bought 40 Anna Bondar for Game Spread: Anna Bondar (-1.5) vs Alina Charaeva (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 09:32 PM
    TETechparme2000
    $3.00

    Bought 4.615385 Anna Bondar for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.65

  • 09:27 PM
    $179.82

    Bought 499.5 Alina Charaeva for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.36

  • 09:27 PM
    $179.82

    Bought 499.5 Alina Charaeva for Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva at 0.36

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

UP1
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$3,224.19
Volume
$33,693.74
Positions
Alina Charaeva
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$3,126.44
Volume
$32,078.81
Positions
Anna Bondar
JT3
jtwyslljy
Event PnL
-$378.70
Volume
$9,999.83
Positions
Anna Bondar
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$768.26
Volume
$8,914.85
Positions
Alina Charaeva
9B5
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$44.90
Volume
$8,575.37
Positions
Alina Charaeva
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$27.92
Volume
$7,229.52
Positions
Alina Charaeva
WI7
0xwise
Event PnL
-$298.37
Volume
$6,205.82
Positions
Anna Bondar
658
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$345.82
Volume
$5,699.04
Positions
Anna Bondar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $398.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Completed Match as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 50% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 99% — an Expected Value gap of +49%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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