Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic

$251.2K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Mia Ristic 100.0%
Noemi Basiletti 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic Game Spread +/-2.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $251.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic Game Spread +/-2.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic Game Spread +/-2.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
  • Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$5.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic Game Spread +/-2.59955.0%$109955¢-9855¢
3Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic5.0%$245.0K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Noemi Basiletti and Mia Ristic in the Tolentino, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Noemi Basiletti' if Noemi Basiletti advances against Mia Ristic.

This market will resolve to 'Mia Ristic' if Mia Ristic advances against Noemi Basiletti.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 10:40 AM
    $0.98

    Sold 2.22 Noemi Basiletti for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.44

  • 10:39 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Noemi Basiletti for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.45

  • 10:39 AM
    $15.55

    Bought 34.555556 Noemi Basiletti for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.45

  • 10:37 AM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $38.31

    Sold 1277 Yes for Tolentino: Completed Match: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.03

  • 10:34 AM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $1,251.46

    Bought 1277 Yes for Tolentino: Completed Match: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.98

  • 09:48 AM
    0X0x56f536a014f55cC6F611ead63D3ac3f29337AeE1-1778093511228
    $3.92

    Bought 7 Mia Ristic for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.56

  • 09:35 AM
    0X0x715DA5479Ff20b18641909Ce82764D88a9BbA4bA-1783109576115
    $6.75

    Bought 15 Noemi Basiletti for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.45

  • 09:11 AM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 17 Mia Ristic for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.56

  • 07:16 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Mia Ristic for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.54

  • 07:16 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Mia Ristic for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.54

  • 07:16 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Mia Ristic for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.54

  • 07:16 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Mia Ristic for Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AN1
Antblack
Event PnL
+$5,284.42
Volume
$58,206.97
Positions
Noemi Basiletti
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
-$2,807.11
Volume
$35,517.61
Positions
Mia Ristic
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,604.24
Volume
$22,954.91
Positions
Mia Ristic
OR4
ORI-
Event PnL
+$527.91
Volume
$17,712.69
Positions
Noemi Basiletti
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$104.27
Volume
$5,048.43
Positions
Mia Ristic
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$495.00
Volume
$4,993.77
Positions
Mia Ristic
NE7
neutralwave23
Event PnL
+$45.94
Volume
$4,028.47
Positions
Mia Ristic
658
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$459.71
Volume
$4,019.75
Positions
Mia Ristic

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic Game Spread +/-2.5 at 9,955% and Tolentino: Noemi Basiletti vs Mia Ristic at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $251.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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