Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert

$179.2K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Erika Andreeva 100.0%
Simona Waltert 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $179.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $178.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Game Spread +/-1.5 (50%), Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (45%), and Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 8.5 (45%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert9995.0%$178.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$3809995¢-9895¢
3Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner9955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
4Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Game Spread +/-1.550.0%—50¢50¢
5Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Total Sets: O/U 2.545.0%$3045¢55¢
6Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 8.545.0%—45¢55¢
7Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 9.545.0%—45¢55¢
8Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%—45¢55¢
9Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 22.545.0%—45¢55¢
10Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 23.545.0%—45¢55¢
11Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Match O/U 21.55.0%$1775¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Erika Andreeva and Simona Waltert in the Adana, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Erika Andreeva' if Erika Andreeva advances against Simona Waltert.

This market will resolve to 'Simona Waltert' if Simona Waltert advances against Erika Andreeva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 09:30 PM
    PApaulaoofc
    $97.42

    Bought 207.27 Erika Andreeva for Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert at 0.47

  • 06:01 PM
    SRsreca
    $1.54

    Bought 3.27 Erika Andreeva for Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert at 0.47

  • 05:58 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Erika Andreeva for Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert at 0.47

  • 05:55 PM
    JZjzzck112
    $28.77

    Bought 54.28 Over for Andreeva vs. Waltert: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$2.65
Volume
$326.43
Positions
Simona WaltertUnder
PA2
paulaoofc
Event PnL
-$2.07
Volume
$207.27
Positions
Erika Andreeva
VA3
vadilloc
Event PnL
-$0.58
Volume
$115.31
Positions
Over
JZ4
jzzck112
Event PnL
-$1.09
Volume
$54.28
Positions
Over
CL5
clownly
Event PnL
+$0.99
Volume
$49.28
Positions
Under
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$0.42
Volume
$28.09
Positions
Erika Andreeva
BE7
betfun...
Event PnL
-$0.28
Volume
$19.00
Positions
Simona Waltert
SV8
SvanHelsing
Event PnL
-$0.04
Volume
$8.69
Positions
Simona Waltert

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert"?

As of the latest update, Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Adana: Erika Andreeva vs Simona Waltert Set 2 Winner at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $179.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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