Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky

$172.1K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Chicago Sky 98.5%
Toronto Tempo 1.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 47.5% chance of winning. Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 follows in second place at 47%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $172.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.5 (47.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 48¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 (47%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 maintains a 47% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 47¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.547.5%$1.1K48¢53¢
2Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.547.0%$6547¢53¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 22 at 8:00PM ET:

If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo".

If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 47% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 52% — yielding an impressive +5% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.547.5%51.0%+3.5%
Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5Best EV47.0%52.0%+5.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 11:52 PM
    PMpmas
    $10.00

    Bought 19.607844 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 11:52 PM
    WHwhoamiwhoami
    $12.00

    Bought 23.529412 Toronto Tempo for Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5) at 0.51

  • 11:38 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $2.48

    Bought 4.6 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 at 0.54

  • 11:36 PM
    UNUnderdog2412
    $20.00

    Bought 40 Chicago Sky for Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5) at 0.5

  • 11:32 PM
    3838791873984189
    $10.25

    Bought 25.625 No for Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.5 at 0.4

  • 11:32 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $1.75

    Bought 4.37 No for Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.5 at 0.4

  • 11:31 PM
    $1.28

    Sold 2.29 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 at 0.56

  • 11:31 PM
    $1.88

    Sold 4.09 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 at 0.46

  • 11:20 PM
    RUruben899889
    $1,503.49

    Bought 2592.22293 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 at 0.58

  • 11:11 PM
    WIWindows11-Winner
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 at 0.44

  • 11:11 PM
    WIWindows11-Winner
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Under for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 at 0.47

  • 11:11 PM
    LYlysergic
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Over for Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$236.42
Volume
$7,366.09
Positions
UnderUnder
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$66.26
Volume
$6,822.47
Positions
OverOverChicago Sky+1
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$41.30
Volume
$4,232.00
Positions
OverToronto TempoOver
BL4
blackjackck
Event PnL
+$20.93
Volume
$4,186.90
Positions
Under
WE5
wenzai168
Event PnL
+$80.19
Volume
$4,007.43
Positions
Over
A06
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
+$0.46
Volume
$2,834.98
Positions
Chicago Sky
PA7
paopao888
Event PnL
-$11.15
Volume
$2,230.77
Positions
Over
AL8
AlphaBetaGamma2357
Event PnL
-$19.92
Volume
$1,814.22
Positions
UnderChicago Sky

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky"?

As of the latest update, Kiki Rice: Points O/U 14.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 47.5% win probability, followed by Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 at 47%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $172.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Laura Juskaite: Points O/U 12.5 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 47% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 52% — an Expected Value gap of +5%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Get Started