Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces

$156.9K Vol
Sep 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Las Vegas Aces 93.5%
Seattle Storm 6.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Spread -15.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,750% chance of winning. Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 5,600%, while Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 sits in third with 5,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $156.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Spread -15.5 (5,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Spread -15.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $23.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
  • Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 (5,550%): Sitting in third place with a 5,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.5 (5,500%), Spread -16.5 (5,450%), and Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Spread -15.55750.0%$23.0K5750¢-5650¢
2Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.55600.0%5600¢-5500¢
3Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.55550.0%5550¢-5450¢
4Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 5.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
5Spread -16.55450.0%$84.1K5450¢-5350¢
6Awa Fam: Rebounds O/U 5.55050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.54900.0%$374900¢-4800¢
8O/U 176.54850.0%$13.9K4850¢-4750¢
9Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.54650.0%4650¢-4550¢
10Dominique Malonga: Points O/U 15.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
11Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
12A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
13A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 3.54300.0%4300¢-4200¢
14Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 4.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
15Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 10.54200.0%4200¢-4100¢
16Dominique Malonga: Rebounds O/U 8.54150.0%4150¢-4050¢
17Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 11.53950.0%3950¢-3850¢
18Flau'jae Johnson: Points O/U 15.53350.0%$23350¢-3250¢
19A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 26.52700.0%2700¢-2600¢
20Awa Fam: Points O/U 10.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
21Natisha Hiedeman: Assists O/U 4.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
22Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces650.0%$39.0K650¢-550¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for September 20 at 9:00PM ET:

If the Seattle Storm win, the market will resolve to "Seattle Storm".

If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces".

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 20, 2026

  • 08:53 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $8.38

    Bought 9.01 Las Vegas Aces for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.93

  • 08:47 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.31

    Bought 10.01 Las Vegas Aces for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.93

  • 08:38 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.31

    Bought 10.01 Las Vegas Aces for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.93

  • 08:23 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $24.23

    Bought 26.05 Las Vegas Aces for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.93

  • 07:46 PM
    THThedevilwearsprada
    $2.23

    Bought 27.875 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

  • 07:15 PM
    0X0x012D83ceB6B39b7431284d6DDe0BE72350019dB6-1766507110243
    $111.60

    Bought 120 Las Vegas Aces for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.93

  • 06:50 PM
    NInikolay484
    $2.00

    Bought 25 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

  • 06:40 PM
    0X0xC526e0b180aC58A24003C3a3F34Ef21D0725Bf92-1763413254943
    $1.00

    Bought 12.5 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

  • 06:29 PM
    SUsuidocs
    $5.04

    Bought 63 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

  • 05:14 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $2.24

    Bought 28.06 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

  • 05:11 PM
    BIBingwin88
    $5.00

    Bought 62.5 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

  • 04:50 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.09

    Bought 51.11 Seattle Storm for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces at 0.08

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$3,663.14
Volume
$11,996.05
Positions
Seattle StormUnderSeattle Storm
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,455.21
Volume
$10,696.09
Positions
OverSeattle Storm
RE3
retarb
Event PnL
+$2,271.47
Volume
$6,479.72
Positions
Las Vegas Aces
NI4
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$330.82
Volume
$6,230.97
Positions
Seattle StormLas Vegas Aces
LA5
lavendergooms
Event PnL
+$945.16
Volume
$4,946.97
Positions
Las Vegas Aces
HI6
hi774c
Event PnL
-$20.50
Volume
$4,346.14
Positions
Seattle Storm
PO7
poshposh
Event PnL
+$106.63
Volume
$3,134.05
Positions
Las Vegas Aces
SP8
sportmaster777
Event PnL
+$18.68
Volume
$3,000.61
Positions
Las Vegas Aces

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces"?

As of the latest update, Spread -15.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,750% win probability, followed by Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 at 5,600% and Flau'jae Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5 at 5,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $156.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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